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Selfoss vs Kari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Brynjolfsson F.
42' Event
Asgeirsson B.
45' Event
Heimisson A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Selfoss and Kari finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
39%
Kari
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Selfoss come out ahead of Kari on wins alone.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Selfoss taking it.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 14%
Kari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Kari
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 6 9
Losses 6 6
Goals Scored 2.63 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 19, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kari
2:2
Jun 10, 2026 Division 2
Kari vs Selfoss
2:2
Apr 12, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Selfoss vs Kari
3:1
Aug 23, 2020 Division 2
Selfoss vs Kari
1:0
Jun 17, 2020 Division 2
Kari vs Selfoss
3:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Brynjolfsson F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asgeirsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Kari Compare

Top Goalscorer Heimisson A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tomasson T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 66 / 100
Kari 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Kari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Kari conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Selfoss has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Kari
3.5 Goals Scored 2
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
Page 1 of 6

Kari

(Away)
12 Sept
Kari
4 : 0
Haukar
05 Sept
Magni
0 : 2
Kari
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0
Fjolnir
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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