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Selfoss vs Kordrengir

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 2023
Tue, Aug 1, 2023
VS
07:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Selfoss host Kordrengir in the Division 1 2023. Little to choose between these two on current form. Kordrengir have shipped 1.4 goals a game lately, while Selfoss have conceded 1.53 and scored 2.63. Past meetings favor Kordrengir slightly — 0-2-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2023, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.67 xG vs 1.44) point toward Selfoss. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
32%
Kordrengir
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Selfoss lately — more wins on the board than Kordrengir.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 16%
Kordrengir Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Kordrengir
Matches Played 30 5
Wins 18 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 6 2
Goals Scored 2.63 2
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2023 Division 1
Selfoss vs Kordrengir
0:0
May 26, 2023 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Selfoss
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 League Cup
Kordrengir vs Selfoss
0:0
Aug 23, 2022 Division 1
Selfoss vs Kordrengir
0:1
Jun 16, 2022 Division 1
Kordrengir vs Selfoss
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 84 / 100
Kordrengir 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Kordrengir

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Selfoss stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Kordrengir's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 5 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
Page 1 of 6

Kordrengir

(Away)
18 Feb
Kordrengir
0 : 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
10 Feb
Breidablik
3 : 0
Kordrengir
17 Sept
Throttur Vogar
0 : 3
Kordrengir
10 Sept
Kordrengir
4 : 0
Afturelding
02 Sept
Grotta
1 : 3
Kordrengir

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akranes 22 15 4 3 54:31 49
2 Afturelding 22 13 4 5 60:33 43
3 Fjolnir 22 12 6 4 55:32 42
4 Vestri 22 11 6 5 37:26 39
5 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 11 2 9 47:37 35
6 Grindavik 22 8 4 10 27:38 28
7 Thor Akureyri 22 8 3 11 27:39 27
8 Throttur 22 7 5 10 45:46 26
9 Grotta 22 6 8 8 34:37 26
10 Njardvik 22 6 5 11 36:47 23
11 Selfoss 22 7 2 13 37:49 23
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 23:67 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2024 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2023 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2024 (Main)