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Selfoss vs Olafsvik

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Selfoss Logo

Selfoss

3 - 1
FT
Olafsvik Logo

Olafsvik

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kjartansson V.
45' Event
Kjartansson V.
68' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Selfoss in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Selfoss
20%
Draws
40%
Olafsvik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Selfoss at 2.31 per game, Olafsvik at 1.67.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 19%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Olafsvik
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.31 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
2:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Olafsvik
3:1
Aug 1, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Olafsvik
2:1
May 27, 2024 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 Division 1
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bergsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 76 / 100
Olafsvik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Olafsvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Selfoss scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Olafsvik has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Selfoss has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Olafsvik
2.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
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Olafsvik

(Away)
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
15 Aug
Kari
4 : 1
Olafsvik
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
25 Jul
Dalvik/Reynir
0 : 1
Olafsvik
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 18 13 2 3 45:23 41
2 Selfoss 18 9 6 3 42:33 33
3 Kari 18 7 9 2 47:29 30
4 Olafsvik 18 8 4 6 26:30 28
5 Fjolnir 18 7 4 7 43:40 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 18 6 6 6 35:26 24
7 KFA 18 7 2 9 40:36 23
8 Dalvik/Reynir 18 6 4 8 26:29 22
9 Magni 18 6 4 8 31:43 22
10 Throttur Vogar 18 6 1 11 29:35 19
11 Hviti 18 3 7 8 21:37 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 18 5 1 12 29:53 16
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)