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Selfoss vs Olafsvik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Kjartansson V.
45' Event
Kjartansson V.
68' Event
Aaras El Hmaidi N.

AI Match Summary

Selfoss in this Division 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
24%
Olafsvik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Olafsvik haven't matched Selfoss's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 18%
Olafsvik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Olafsvik
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 2.63 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2026 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
2:0
May 31, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Olafsvik
3:1
Aug 1, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Olafsvik
2:1
May 27, 2024 Division 2
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
2:2
Aug 28, 2021 Division 1
Olafsvik vs Selfoss
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjartansson V.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bergsson B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Olafsvik Compare

Top Goalscorer Aaras El Hmaidi N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 85 / 100
Olafsvik 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Olafsvik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Selfoss scored in 93% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Selfoss has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Olafsvik has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Olafsvik
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
Page 1 of 6

Olafsvik

(Away)
12 Sept
Olafsvik
4 : 0
KFA
05 Sept
KFG Gardabaer
4 : 1
Olafsvik
29 Aug
Olafsvik
1 : 4
Haukar
23 Aug
Magni
3 : 1
Olafsvik
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
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