Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Selfoss vs Throttur Vogar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Kristjansson J.
Own Goal
48' Event
Kjartansson V.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Heimisson F.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Selfoss and Throttur Vogar finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Selfoss
15%
Draws
18%
Throttur Vogar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Selfoss come out ahead of Throttur Vogar on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 19%
Throttur Vogar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss Throttur Vogar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 12
Draws 6 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.63 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Selfoss
1:3
Jun 15, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Throttur Vogar
3:1
Aug 9, 2024 Division 2
Throttur Vogar vs Selfoss
4:1
May 31, 2024 Division 2
Selfoss vs Throttur Vogar
6:1
Aug 4, 2022 Division 1
Throttur Vogar vs Selfoss
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss Compare

Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Throttur Vogar Compare

Top Goalscorer Heimisson F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss 85 / 100
Throttur Vogar 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss Throttur Vogar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Selfoss's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Throttur Vogar let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Selfoss stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss VS Throttur Vogar
3.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss

(Home)
18 Sept
Selfoss
3 : 1
Haukar
15 Sept
Selfoss
5 : 0
Alftanes
12 Sept
Selfoss
2 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
05 Sept
Haukar
1 : 2
Selfoss
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
Page 1 of 6

Throttur Vogar

(Away)
12 Sept
Throttur Vogar
2 : 1
Magni
05 Sept
Fjolnir
1 : 1
Throttur Vogar
28 Aug
Kari
2 : 0
Throttur Vogar
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 1
Throttur Vogar
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 22 15 2 5 55:32 47
2 Selfoss 22 13 6 3 55:36 45
3 Kari 22 11 9 2 56:29 42
4 Dalvik/Reynir 22 9 4 9 37:37 31
5 Olafsvik 22 9 4 9 33:41 31
6 Fjolnir 22 8 6 8 49:46 30
7 KFA 22 9 2 11 51:45 29
8 Kormakur/Hvot 22 7 6 9 42:38 27
9 Magni 22 7 4 11 35:54 25
10 Throttur Vogar 22 7 2 13 33:42 23
11 KFG Gardabaer 22 7 1 14 38:58 22
12 Hviti 22 3 8 11 28:54 17
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)