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Selfoss W vs Keflavik W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

League Cup Women 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Eyjolfsdottir A.
10' Event
Danielsdottir A.
38'
Sub
Oddsteinsdottir E. In: Arnarsdottir I.
Out: Oddsteinsdottir E.

AI Match Summary

Keflavik W in this League Cup Women 2024 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Selfoss W
15%
Draws
51%
Keflavik W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keflavik W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Keflavik W lately — more wins on the board than Selfoss W.
  • Model gives Keflavik W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Keflavik W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Keflavik W, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Selfoss W Clean Sheet 10%
Keflavik W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss W Keflavik W
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 1 3
Losses 23 19
Goals Scored 0.93 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.47 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2024 League Cup Women
Selfoss W vs Keflavik W
0:3
Sep 16, 2023 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Selfoss W
1:0
Jul 29, 2023 Besta deild Women
Selfoss W vs Keflavik W
1:0
May 22, 2023 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Selfoss W
1:0
Aug 24, 2022 Besta deild Women
Keflavik W vs Selfoss W
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Keflavik W Compare

Top Goalscorer Eyjolfsdottir A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danielsdottir A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss W 10 / 100
Keflavik W 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss W Keflavik W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keflavik W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Keflavik W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 34 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Selfoss W found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Selfoss W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss W VS Keflavik W
2.25 Goals Scored 2
3.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss W

(Home)
15 May
Selfoss W
0 : 7
Hafnarfjordur W
26 Apr
Selfoss W
2 : 1
Haukar W
19 Apr
Selfoss W
7 : 1
Augnablik W
19 Apr
Haukar W
4 : 0
Selfoss W
22 Apr
Akranes W
5 : 4
Selfoss W
Page 1 of 6

Keflavik W

(Away)
15 May
Keflavik W
0 : 2
Vikingur Reykjavik W
26 Apr
KT Reykjavik W
3 : 8
Keflavik W
18 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 1
KR Reykjavik W
28 Apr
Keflavik W
2 : 3
Grindavik/Njardvik W
14 Mar
Vikingur Reykjavik W
0 : 3
Keflavik W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valur W 5 5 0 0 19:3 15
2 Breidablik W 5 4 0 1 14:5 12
3 Tindastoll W 5 2 1 2 9:8 7
4 Fylkir W 5 2 1 2 13:16 7
5 Keflavik W 5 1 0 4 5:13 3
6 Selfoss W 5 0 0 5 3:18 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Thor/KA W 5 4 0 1 22:6 12
2 Stjarnan W 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
3 Hafnarfjordur W 5 3 0 2 15:9 9
4 Throttur W 5 2 1 2 15:14 7
5 Vikingur Reykjavik W 5 2 0 3 10:17 6
6 IBV Vestmannaeyjar W 5 0 0 5 4:23 0
Promotion - League Cup Women 2024 (Play Offs)