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Selfoss W vs Tindastoll W

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild Women 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Garcia M.
30'
Gunnarsdottir E.
39'
Sub
Halldorsdottir J. In: Geirsdottir G.
Out: Halldorsdottir J.

AI Match Summary

Tindastoll W in this Besta deild Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tindastoll W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Selfoss W
15%
Draws
46%
Tindastoll W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tindastoll W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Tindastoll W have won more games recently than Selfoss W.
  • Model gives Tindastoll W a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Selfoss W Clean Sheet 11%
Tindastoll W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selfoss W Tindastoll W
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 10
Draws 1 4
Losses 23 17
Goals Scored 0.93 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.47 2.65
Expected Goals (xG) 3.19 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2024 League Cup Women
Selfoss W vs Tindastoll W
0:2
Sep 10, 2023 Besta deild Women
Selfoss W vs Tindastoll W
1:2
Aug 8, 2023 Besta deild Women
Tindastoll W vs Selfoss W
0:0
May 27, 2023 Icelandic Cup Women
Tindastoll W vs Selfoss W
0:1
May 16, 2023 Besta deild Women
Selfoss W vs Tindastoll W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selfoss W Compare

Top Goalscorer Geirsdottir G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.59

Tindastoll W Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selfoss W 27 / 100
Tindastoll W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selfoss W Tindastoll W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tindastoll W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tindastoll W conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Selfoss W found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Solid form: Selfoss W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Selfoss W VS Tindastoll W
3 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 3.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
67% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Selfoss W

(Home)
15 May
Selfoss W
0 : 7
Hafnarfjordur W
26 Apr
Selfoss W
2 : 1
Haukar W
19 Apr
Selfoss W
7 : 1
Augnablik W
19 Apr
Haukar W
4 : 0
Selfoss W
22 Apr
Akranes W
5 : 4
Selfoss W
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Tindastoll W

(Away)
16 May
Tindastoll W
0 : 5
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
26 Apr
Tindastoll W
3 : 0
IR Reykjavik W
08 Feb
Tindastoll W
0 : 16
IBV Vestmannaeyjar W
11 Oct
Tindastoll W
5 : 2
FHL W
04 Oct
Fram W
3 : 3
Tindastoll W
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