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Selimbar vs Poli Iasi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Magura Stadium, Cisnadie
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Benzar D.
40' Event
Serban A.
46'
Sub
Ghindovean D. In: Elo Ayeto J.
Out: Ghindovean D.

AI Match Summary

Selimbar in this Liga 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Selimbar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Selimbar
20%
Draws
40%
Poli Iasi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Selimbar haven't matched Poli Iasi's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Selimbar Clean Sheet 24%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Selimbar Poli Iasi
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 Liga 2
Selimbar vs Poli Iasi
2:1
Feb 25, 2023 Liga 2
Poli Iasi vs Selimbar
4:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga 2
Selimbar vs Poli Iasi
0:0
Dec 4, 2021 Liga 2
Selimbar vs Poli Iasi
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Selimbar Compare

Top Goalscorer Benzar D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Serban A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Poli Iasi Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Selimbar 33 / 100
Poli Iasi 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Selimbar Poli Iasi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poli Iasi Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Selimbar scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Poli Iasi has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Poli Iasi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Selimbar VS Poli Iasi
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 33%
50% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Selimbar

(Home)
02 Oct
Corvinul Hunedoara
2 : 0
Selimbar
19 Sept
CSM Slatina
2 : 1
Selimbar
13 Sept
Chindia Targoviste
4 : 0
Selimbar
05 Sept
Selimbar
1 : 1
Metalul Buzau
29 Aug
CS Din. Bucuresti
0 : 1
Selimbar
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Poli Iasi

(Away)
09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0
Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2
Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0
Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0
Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1
FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 21 16 5 0 37:13 53
2 Sepsi 21 13 5 3 34:18 44
3 Chindia Targoviste 21 12 3 6 38:20 39
4 FC Bihor 21 12 3 6 40:24 39
5 Voluntari 21 11 6 4 30:16 39
6 Steaua Bucuresti 21 12 3 6 36:27 39
7 FC ASA Tg. Mures 21 11 4 6 37:22 37
8 CSM Resita 21 10 3 8 35:29 33
9 FC Bacau 21 9 6 6 28:26 33
10 Metalul Buzau 21 10 2 9 33:26 32
11 Poli Iasi 21 9 4 8 25:22 31
12 Afumati 21 9 3 9 30:26 30
13 Concordia 21 8 3 10 29:24 27
14 Gloria Bistrita 21 7 5 9 29:29 26
15 CSM Slatina 21 7 5 9 27:28 26
16 CSC Dumbravita 21 7 4 10 25:33 25
17 Selimbar 21 5 5 11 27:32 20
18 Ceahlaul 21 5 3 13 20:43 18
19 CS Din. Bucuresti 21 3 7 11 19:35 16
20 Tunari 21 3 7 11 19:36 16
21 CSM Satu Mare 21 4 2 15 19:45 14
22 Campulung 21 2 4 15 10:53 10
Promotion - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)