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Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senador Guiomard play Sao Francisco FC (AC) in the Acreano 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Senador Guiomard averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.42 conceded. Sao Francisco FC (AC) averaged 1.23 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. In past meetings, Senador Guiomard won 3, Sao Francisco FC (AC) won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 5, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Senador Guiomard and 1.85 for Sao Francisco FC (AC). This points to a Sao Francisco FC (AC) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Senador Guiomard
20%
Draws
40%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard picked up more points recently compared to Sao Francisco FC (AC).
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.85 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 31 35
Wins 9 14
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.16 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard
0:0
Mar 15, 2009 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:2
Apr 10, 2008 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senador Guiomard Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcus Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 38 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sao Francisco FC (AC) or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Senador Guiomard attacking → ← attacking Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) let in goals in 71% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Senador Guiomard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Sao Francisco FC (AC) lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.71 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1