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Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
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Match Events

78' Event
Marcus Vinicius

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2025 game between Senador Guiomard and Sao Francisco FC (AC) finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senador Guiomard.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Senador Guiomard
6%
Draws
4%
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Senador Guiomard

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Sao Francisco FC (AC) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Senador Guiomard's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 10%
Sao Francisco FC (AC) Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Sao Francisco FC (AC)
Matches Played 31 34
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 4
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard
0:2
Feb 23, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1:0
Apr 3, 2022 Acreano
Sao Francisco FC (AC) vs Senador Guiomard
0:0
Mar 15, 2009 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
0:2
Apr 10, 2008 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senador Guiomard Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcus Vinicius
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Sao Francisco FC (AC) Compare

Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 83 / 100
Sao Francisco FC (AC) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Sao Francisco FC (AC)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Defensive concern: Sao Francisco FC (AC) conceded in 71% of 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Sao Francisco FC (AC)'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Senador Guiomard VS Sao Francisco FC (AC)
1 Goals Scored 2
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1