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Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Senador Guiomard play Vasco da Gama AC in the Acreano 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Senador Guiomard averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. Vasco da Gama AC averaged 1.74 goals scored and 1.89 conceded. In past meetings, Senador Guiomard won 2, Vasco da Gama AC won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 26, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Senador Guiomard and 1.50 for Vasco da Gama AC. This points to a Vasco da Gama AC double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Senador Guiomard
18%
Draws
42%
Vasco da Gama AC
Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: Vasco da Gama AC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / Medium Confidence
  • Senador Guiomard picked up more points recently compared to Vasco da Gama AC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.19 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Senador Guiomard Clean Sheet 16%
Vasco da Gama AC Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senador Guiomard Vasco da Gama AC
Matches Played 33 35
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.24 1.74
Goals Conceded 1.39 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 26, 2026 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
0:2
Mar 19, 2024 Acreano
Vasco da Gama AC vs Senador Guiomard
2:1
Mar 17, 2022 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:0
Mar 14, 2010 Acreano
Senador Guiomard vs Vasco da Gama AC
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senador Guiomard Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Vasco da Gama AC Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Victor
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senador Guiomard 39 / 100
Vasco da Gama AC 40 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senador Guiomard Vasco da Gama AC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Vasco da Gama AC or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +25.2%
3.13
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Senador Guiomard attacking → ← attacking Vasco da Gama AC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senador Guiomard scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Vasco da Gama AC let in goals in 74% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Senador Guiomard went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Vasco da Gama AC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 46
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Vasco da Gama AC752013:517
2Senador Guiomard742113:814
3Independencia Futebol Clube733112:412
4Galvez732214:911
5SC Humaita724112:810
6Rio Branco AC721413:167
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71063:163
8Placido de Castro70258:22-1