Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sencur vs Sobec Lesce

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 game between Sencur and Sobec Lesce finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sencur.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Sencur
35%
Draws
22%
Sobec Lesce
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Sencur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sencur come out ahead of Sobec Lesce on wins alone.
  • Model gives Sencur a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Sencur Clean Sheet 18%
Sobec Lesce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sencur Sobec Lesce
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.79 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Sobec Lesce
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Sencur
0:3
Apr 12, 2025 3. SNL - West
Sobec Lesce vs Sencur
3:2
Sep 27, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Sobec Lesce
1:2
Apr 12, 2024 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Sobec Lesce
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sencur 58 / 100
Sobec Lesce 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sencur Sobec Lesce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sencur Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sencur found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Sobec Lesce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Sencur stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sencur VS Sobec Lesce
1.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sencur

(Home)
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
29 Aug
Skofja Loka
1 : 1
Sencur
22 Aug
Sencur
3 : 3
Tolmin
14 Aug
Sencur
3 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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Sobec Lesce

(Away)
12 Sept
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Litija
05 Sept
IB 1975 Ljubljana
4 : 1
Sobec Lesce
29 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 2
Zidgrad Idrija
23 Aug
Sobec Lesce
1 : 1
Ljubljana Svoboda
15 Aug
Rudar Trbovlje
0 : 0
Sobec Lesce
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vrhnika 26 17 5 4 63:21 56
2 Sencur 26 16 6 4 46:27 54
3 Dob 26 15 5 6 54:29 50
4 Tolmin 26 14 3 9 47:33 45
5 Izola 26 12 6 8 53:39 42
6 Rudar Trbovlje 26 11 8 7 56:39 41
7 IB 1975 Ljubljana 26 11 3 12 35:44 36
8 Sobec Lesce 26 10 6 10 31:32 36
9 Skofja Loka 26 7 9 10 37:42 30
10 Ziri 26 7 6 13 30:52 27
11 Fama Vipava 26 6 8 12 28:42 26
12 Ljubljana Svoboda 26 6 5 15 30:51 23
13 Zidgrad Idrija 26 6 4 16 34:57 22
14 Bistrc 26 5 4 17 35:71 19
Promotion - 2. SNL (Main)