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Sencur vs Tolmin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Kurincic J.
20' Event
Imeraj E.
44' Event
Imeraj E.

AI Match Summary

The 3. SNL - West game between Sencur and Tolmin finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sencur
20%
Draws
40%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Tolmin's 2 goals per match outpaces what Sencur have produced (1.79).
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Sencur Clean Sheet 14%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sencur Tolmin
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 16
Draws 7 6
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 1.79 2
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
3:3
Mar 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
0:3
Mar 17, 2023 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sencur Compare

Top Goalscorer Imeraj E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Sojer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Tolmin Compare

Top Goalscorer Kurincic J.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sencur 31 / 100
Tolmin 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sencur Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sencur scored in 83% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Tolmin let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Sencur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sencur VS Tolmin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sencur

(Home)
03 Oct
Zidgrad Idrija
2 : 4
Sencur
26 Sept
Ljubljana Svoboda
0 : 1
Sencur
20 Sept
Sencur
3 : 0
Rudar Trbovlje
12 Sept
Izola
5 : 2
Sencur
04 Sept
Sencur
0 : 0
Ziri
Page 1 of 6

Tolmin

(Away)
03 Oct
Tolmin
2 : 0
Ljubljana Svoboda
27 Sept
Tolmin
5 : 1
Rudar Trbovlje
19 Sept
Tolmin
0 : 1
Izola
13 Sept
Ziri
2 : 4
Tolmin
05 Sept
Tolmin
2 : 2
Skofja Loka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Izola 8 8 0 0 36:5 24
2 Dob 8 6 1 1 21:6 19
3 Zidgrad Idrija 8 5 1 2 13:11 16
4 Tolmin 8 4 3 1 18:10 15
5 Sencur 8 4 3 1 17:11 15
6 Litija 8 4 2 2 15:7 14
7 Skofja Loka 8 3 3 2 15:17 12
8 Rudar Trbovlje 8 3 1 4 11:18 10
9 Adria Miren 8 2 1 5 12:16 7
10 IB 1975 Ljubljana 8 2 1 5 8:14 7
11 Ziri 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
12 Fama Vipava 8 2 0 6 13:34 6
13 Sobec Lesce 8 0 3 5 6:16 3
14 Ljubljana Svoboda 8 0 1 7 5:21 1
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)