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Sencur vs Tolmin

Slovenia Slovenia

3. SNL - West
Sencur Logo

Sencur

Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Tolmin Logo

Tolmin

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sencur host Tolmin in the 3. SNL - West. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Tolmin have shipped 1.31 goals a game lately, while Sencur have conceded 1.07 and scored 1.77. Head-to-head, Sencur have won 3 to Tolmin's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 23, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.63, favoring Sencur. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Sencur
15%
Draws
44%
Tolmin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tolmin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Sencur carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Tolmin's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular 3. SNL - West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sencur Clean Sheet 14%
Tolmin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sencur Tolmin
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 18 16
Draws 6 4
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.77 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
0:3
Mar 17, 2023 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
0:0
Aug 27, 2022 3. SNL - West
Tolmin vs Sencur
3:1
Apr 2, 2022 3. SNL - West
Sencur vs Tolmin
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sencur 27 / 100
Tolmin 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sencur Tolmin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tolmin Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sencur scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Tolmin's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sencur has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Sencur VS Tolmin
1.75 Goals Scored 2.25
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sencur

(Home)
14 Aug
Sencur
3 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
23 May
Sencur
0 : 3
Izola
16 May
Vrhnika
2 : 3
Sencur
09 May
Sencur
1 : 0
Dob
03 May
Rudar Trbovlje
1 : 2
Sencur
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Tolmin

(Away)
23 May
Ziri
0 : 3
Tolmin
16 May
Tolmin
0 : 0
Fama Vipava
09 May
Tolmin
3 : 0
Zidgrad Idrija
02 May
Skofja Loka
1 : 3
Tolmin
25 Apr
Tolmin
5 : 0
IB 1975 Ljubljana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IB 1975 Ljubljana 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Izola 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Sencur 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Tolmin 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Adria Miren 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Dob 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Ljubljana Svoboda 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Rudar Trbovlje 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Sobec Lesce 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Ziri 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Fama Vipava 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Skofja Loka 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Litija 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Zidgrad Idrija 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - 2. SNL 2027/2028 (Main)