Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal U20 vs Benin U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Alassane M.
46'
Sub
Djalilou I. In: Bawa S.
Out: Djalilou I.
51' Event
Diallo S.
Assist: Camara L.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Senegal U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Senegal U20
20%
Draws
0%
Benin U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Senegal U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Senegal U20 a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Senegal U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Benin U20, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Benin U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Benin U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U20 Benin U20
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 17 2
Draws 6 11
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.63 0.54
Goals Conceded 0.67 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 2, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Senegal U20 vs Benin U20
1:0
Oct 6, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Senegal U20 vs Benin U20
0:1
Sep 23, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Benin U20 vs Senegal U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Benin U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U20 95 / 100
Benin U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U20 Benin U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Benin U20 registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Senegal U20 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Benin U20 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U20 VS Benin U20
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 50%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U20

(Home)
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
02 May
Senegal U20
1 : 1
Central Africa U20
23 Mar
Senegal U20
0 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
Page 1 of 6

Benin U20

(Away)
29 Jul
Niger U20
1 : 0
Benin U20
26 Jul
Ivory Coast U20
5 : 0
Benin U20
19 Jul
Togo U20
2 : 0
Benin U20
16 Jul
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Benin U20
13 Jul
Nigeria U20
4 : 1
Benin U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 1
Benin U20 0
Congo U20 3
Tunisia U20 4
Uganda U20 0
Nigeria U20 1
Gambia U20 5
South Sudan U20 0
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 3
Tunisia U20 0
Nigeria U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Final
Senegal U20 2
Gambia U20 0
Tunisia U20 0
Nigeria U20 4