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Senegal U20 vs Gambia U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 Cairo International Stadium, Cairo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Faye S.
Assist: Diop A.
30'
Ndiaye B.
44'
Demba P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with Senegal U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Senegal U20
15%
Draws
26%
Gambia U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Senegal U20 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Senegal U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 35.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Gambia U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U20 Gambia U20
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 18 15
Draws 5 6
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.66 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.62 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Senegal U20 vs Gambia U20
2:0
Sep 6, 2022 Friendly International
Senegal U20 vs Gambia U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Faye S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Camara M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Gambia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U20 95 / 100
Gambia U20 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U20 Gambia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Senegal U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Senegal U20 has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Gambia U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U20 VS Gambia U20
1 Goals Scored 0.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
38% Over 1.5 33%
13% Over 2.5 33%
13% Over 3.5 17%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U20

(Home)
04 Oct
Senegal U20
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
01 Oct
Senegal U20
2 : 1
D.R. Congo U20
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
Page 1 of 6

Gambia U20

(Away)
11 Sept
Liberia U20
0 : 1
Gambia U20
15 Mar
Congo U20
2 : 1
Gambia U20
12 Mar
Ghana U20
3 : 1
Gambia U20
08 Mar
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Benin U20
01 Jun
Gambia U20
0 : 1
Uruguay U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Senegal U20 1
Benin U20 0
Congo U20 3
Tunisia U20 4
Uganda U20 0
Nigeria U20 1
Gambia U20 5
South Sudan U20 0
Semi-finals
Senegal U20 3
Tunisia U20 0
Nigeria U20 0
Gambia U20 1
Final
Senegal U20 2
Gambia U20 0
Tunisia U20 0
Nigeria U20 4