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Senegal U20 vs Guinea U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Badji A.

AI Match Summary

Senegal U20 in this Africa Cup of Nations U20 2017 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Senegal U20
15%
Draws
45%
Guinea U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guinea U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Senegal U20 lately — more wins on the board than Guinea U20.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Senegal U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal U20, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Senegal U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Guinea U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U20 Guinea U20
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 5
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.56 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.59 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2022 Friendly International
Senegal U20 vs Guinea U20
3:1
Mar 9, 2017 Africa Cup of Nations U20
Senegal U20 vs Guinea U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Badji A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Guinea U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U20 41 / 100
Guinea U20 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U20 Guinea U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea U20 let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Senegal U20 scored in 79% of their last 34 games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Senegal U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U20 VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U20

(Home)
04 Oct
Senegal U20
3 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
01 Oct
Senegal U20
2 : 1
D.R. Congo U20
12 May
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
08 May
Senegal U20
2 : 0
D.R. Congo U20
05 May
Ghana U20
1 : 0
Senegal U20
Page 1 of 7

Guinea U20

(Away)
06 Sept
Liberia U20
3 : 4
Guinea U20
03 Sept
Gambia U20
0 : 0
Guinea U20
01 Sept
Guinea U20
4 : 0
Cape Verde U20
28 Aug
Senegal U20
3 : 1
Guinea U20
19 May
Guinea U20
3 : 2
Mauritania U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zambia U20 1
South Africa U20 0
Senegal U20 1
Guinea U20 0
Final
Zambia U20 2
Senegal U20 0
South Africa U20 1
Guinea U20 2