Sport Picks
Senegal U23 vs Burkina Faso U23 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Africa
Africa Cup of Nations U23 2023 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-0, with Senegal U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senegal U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Senegal U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Senegal U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
- Senegal U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Senegal U23, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 3 times recently and Senegal U23 have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 26%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Burkina Faso U23 Clean Sheet 22%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Senegal U23 | Burkina Faso U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 9 |
| Wins | 13 | 3 |
| Draws | 7 | 2 |
| Losses | 9 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 0.78 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.86 | 0.78 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.53 | 0.52 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 29, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Senegal U23 vs Burkina Faso U23
1:0
Oct 23, 2022 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Burkina Faso U23 vs Senegal U23
0:0
Sep 18, 2015 African Games
Senegal U23 vs Burkina Faso U23
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Senegal U23 59 / 100
Burkina Faso U23 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Senegal U23 Burkina Faso U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Senegal U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Senegal U23 scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Burkina Faso U23 let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.
Solid form: Senegal U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Burkina Faso U23's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Senegal U23 VS Burkina Faso U23
0.63 Goals Scored 0.29
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.43
38% Over 1.5 14%
13% Over 2.5 14%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Senegal U23
(Home) 05 Oct
Senegal U23
2 : 1 Gambia U23
03 Oct
Senegal U23
3 : 1 Gambia U23
28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0 Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1 Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 6
05 Oct
Senegal U23
2 : 1 Gambia U23
03 Oct
Senegal U23
3 : 1 Gambia U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1 Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
10 Aug
Senegal U23
1 : 1 Algeria U23
Page 1 of 3
Burkina Faso U23
(Away) 29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0 Senegal U23
27 Sept
Gambia U23
1 : 2 Burkina Faso U23
21 Sept
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 1 Gambia U23
18 Sept
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 2
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
27 Sept
Gambia U23
1 : 2 Burkina Faso U23
18 Sept
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
15 Sept
Nigeria U23
1 : 3 Burkina Faso U23
13 Sept
Sudan U23
0 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1
