Sport Picks
Match Events
14'
14'
Camara L.
27'
27'
Drame I.
60'
60'
Diarra T.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-1, with Senegal U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
35%
20%
45%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Mali U23
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- Mali U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Mali U23 a 45% chance of winning this.
- Mali U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Senegal U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Mali U23 Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Senegal U23 | Mali U23 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 14 |
| Draws | 7 | 6 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 0.96 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 28, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Mali U23 vs Senegal U23
3:0
Mar 22, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Senegal U23 vs Mali U23
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Senegal U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Camara L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Drame I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58
Mali U23 Compare
Top Goalscorer Diarra T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.1
Avg xA / game 0.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Senegal U23 16 / 100
Mali U23 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Senegal U23 Mali U23
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Mali U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Senegal U23 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.
Mali U23 has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.
Solid form: Senegal U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Senegal U23 VS Mali U23
1.2 Goals Scored 1.63
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
60% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Senegal U23
(Home) 28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0 Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1 Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0 Senegal U23
12 Aug
Cameroon U23
0 : 2 Senegal U23
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22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1 Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0 Burkina Faso U23
10 Aug
Senegal U23
1 : 1 Algeria U23
24 Mar
Senegal U23
0 : 0 Guinea U23
12 Dec
Senegal U23
0 : 1 South Africa U23
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Mali U23
(Away) 18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2 Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3 Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3 Mali U23
06 Jul
Mali U23
1 : 0 Mali U20
02 Jul
Mali U23
2 : 0 Mali U20
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18 Nov
Indonesia U23
2 : 2 Mali U23
15 Nov
Indonesia U23
0 : 3 Mali U23
19 Jul
FC Bobigny 93
0 : 3 Mali U23
10 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 2 Mali U23
07 Jun
Uzbekistan U23
1 : 1 Mali U23
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Guinea Bissau U23 2
Niger U23 4
TBD -
Ivory Coast U23 -
Sudan U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Benin U23 -
Tanzania U23 3
South Sudan U23 3
TBD -
Nigeria U23 -
Guinea U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 3
Botswana U23 2
TBD -
Egypt U23 -
Sierra Leone U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Zambia U23 -
Mauritania U23 1
Togo U23 2
TBD -
South Africa U23 -
Congo U23 -
TBD -
TBD -
Tunisia U23 -
Ethiopia U23 0
D.R. Congo U23 1
TBD -
Algeria U23 -
Mozambique U23 5
Mauritius U23 1
TBD -
Ghana U23 -
Burkina Faso U23 2
Gambia U23 2
TBD -
Senegal U23 -
Libya U23 4
Rwanda U23 4
TBD -
Mali U23 -
Madagascar U23 12
Seychelles U23 1
TBD -
Gabon U23 -
Angola U23 8
Namibia U23 1
TBD -
Cameroon U23 -
Semi-finals
Niger U23 1
Ivory Coast U23 1
Sudan U23 3
Benin U23 3
Tanzania U23 1
Nigeria U23 3
Guinea U23 -
Uganda U23 -
Eswatini U23 0
Egypt U23 1
Sierra Leone U23 1
Zambia U23 2
Togo U23 2
South Africa U23 2
Congo U23 2
Tunisia U23 2
D.R. Congo U23 5
Algeria U23 4
Mozambique U23 1
Ghana U23 4
Burkina Faso U23 0
Senegal U23 1
Rwanda U23 1
Mali U23 2
Madagascar U23 0
Gabon U23 5
Angola U23 2
Cameroon U23 3
Final
Niger U23 2
Sudan U23 1
Nigeria U23 0
Guinea U23 2
Egypt U23 2
Zambia U23 0
South Africa U23 1
Congo U23 1
Algeria U23 1
Ghana U23 2
Senegal U23 3
Mali U23 4
Gabon U23 2
Cameroon U23 1
