Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal U23 vs South Africa U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015
Sat, Dec 12, 2015
0 - 1
04:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

56'
Sub
Diallo H. In: Keita I.
Out: Diallo H.
64'
Sub
Mekoa D. In: Masuku M.
Out: Mekoa D.
72'
Sub
Dieng Ch. In: Badji S.
Out: Dieng Ch.

AI Match Summary

South Africa U23 in this Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Senegal U23
35%
Draws
19%
South Africa U23
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Senegal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal U23 have won more games recently than South Africa U23.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Senegal U23 taking it.
  • Senegal U23 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor South Africa U23, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and South Africa U23 have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 68%
South Africa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U23 South Africa U23
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 11 10
Draws 7 9
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Senegal U23 vs South Africa U23
0:1
Nov 28, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Senegal U23 vs South Africa U23
3:1
Sep 13, 2011 African Games
South Africa U23 vs Senegal U23
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U23 50 / 100
South Africa U23 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U23 South Africa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Senegal U23 scored in 62% of their last 26 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Senegal U23 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Africa U23 let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U23 VS South Africa U23
1 Goals Scored 1
0.86 Goals Conceded 1.88
57% Over 1.5 75%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal U23

(Home)
28 Mar
Mali U23
3 : 0
Senegal U23
22 Mar
Senegal U23
3 : 1
Mali U23
29 Oct
Senegal U23
1 : 0
Burkina Faso U23
23 Oct
Burkina Faso U23
0 : 0
Senegal U23
12 Aug
Cameroon U23
0 : 2
Senegal U23
Page 1 of 6

South Africa U23

(Away)
27 Mar
Congo U23
0 : 0
South Africa U23
23 Mar
South Africa U23
1 : 1
Congo U23
30 Oct
South Africa U23
0 : 0
Togo U23
23 Oct
Togo U23
2 : 2
South Africa U23
13 Jun
Egypt U23
3 : 0
South Africa U23
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Senegal U23 0
Nigeria U23 1
Algeria U23 2
South Africa U23 0
Final
Nigeria U23 2
Algeria U23 1
Senegal U23 0
South Africa U23 1