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Senegal U23 vs Zambia U23

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Diallo H.
33'
Katema P.
43'
Phiri S.

AI Match Summary

The Africa Cup of Nations U23 2015 game between Senegal U23 and Zambia U23 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senegal U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Senegal U23
28%
Draws
22%
Zambia U23
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Senegal U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Senegal U23 come out ahead of Zambia U23 on wins alone.
  • Senegal U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Senegal U23 Clean Sheet 20%
Zambia U23 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal U23 Zambia U23
Matches Played 27 17
Wins 11 5
Draws 7 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 4, 2015 Africa Cup of Nations U23
Senegal U23 vs Zambia U23
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Diallo H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Zambia U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal U23 49 / 100
Zambia U23 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal U23 Zambia U23

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Senegal U23 scored in 62% of their last 26 outings.

Zambia U23 let in goals in 65% of their last 17 matches.

Solid form: Senegal U23 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Senegal U23 VS Zambia U23
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Senegal U2333006:19
2South Africa U2332015:56
3Tunisia U2331022:43
4Zambia U2330033:60
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Algeria U2331203:15
2Nigeria U2331205:45
3Mali U2331023:53
4Egypt U2330213:42