Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal vs Congo

Africa Africa

African Nations Championship Amaan Stadium, Zanzibar City
Senegal Logo

Senegal

1 - 1
FT
Congo Logo

Congo

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Moussavou D.
Assist: Atipo C.
45'
Atipo C.
46'
Sub
Niang A. In: Cisse V.
Out: Niang A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The African Nations Championship game between Senegal and Congo finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Senegal
30%
Draws
23%
Congo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Senegal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Senegal come out ahead of Congo on wins alone.
  • Senegal are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this African Nations Championship fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Senegal Clean Sheet 68%
Congo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal Congo
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 3
Draws 5 8
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 3.38 0
Goals Conceded 0.5 1
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2025 African Nations Championship
Senegal vs Congo
1:1
Jan 9, 2023 Friendly International
Senegal vs Congo
1:0
Nov 14, 2021 World Championship
Senegal vs Congo
2:0
Sep 7, 2021 World Championship
Congo vs Senegal
1:3
Mar 26, 2021 Africa Cup of Nations
Congo vs Senegal
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal Compare

Top Goalscorer Samb L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.6
Avg xA / game 1.69

Congo Compare

Top Goalscorer Moussavou D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal 77 / 100
Congo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal Congo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Senegal scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Congo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Congo registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Senegal VS Congo
3.38 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal

(Home)
01 Jul
Belgium
3 : 2
Senegal
26 Jun
Senegal
5 : 0
Iraq
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
16 Jun
France
3 : 1
Senegal
09 Jun
Saudi Arabia
0 : 0
Senegal
Page 1 of 7

Congo

(Away)
14 Oct
Morocco
1 : 0
Congo
08 Oct
Niger
3 : 1
Congo
05 Sept
Congo
1 : 1
Tanzania
19 Aug
Nigeria
2 : 0
Congo
12 Aug
Senegal
1 : 1
Congo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kenya 4 3 1 0 4:1 10
2 Morocco 4 3 0 1 8:3 9
3 D.R. Congo 4 2 0 2 5:4 6
4 Angola 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Zambia 4 0 0 4 2:8 0
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tanzania 4 3 1 0 5:1 10
2 Madagascar 4 2 1 1 5:3 7
3 Mauritania 4 2 1 1 2:1 7
4 Burkina Faso 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
5 Central Africa 4 0 1 3 2:7 1
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uganda 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
2 Algeria 4 1 3 0 5:2 6
3 South Africa 4 1 3 0 6:5 6
4 Guinea 4 1 1 2 3:6 4
5 Niger 4 0 2 2 0:3 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sudan 3 1 2 0 5:1 5
2 Senegal 3 1 2 0 2:1 5
3 Nigeria 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Congo 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - African Nations Championship (Play Offs)