Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Senegal W vs D.R. Congo W

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 Stade El Bachir, Mohammedia
Senegal W Logo

Senegal W

4 - 0
FT
D.R. Congo W Logo

D.R. Congo W

Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Diop M.
Assist: Kande M.
13' Event
Ndiaye N.
Assist: Ndiaye A.
17'
Sub
Iyombe K. In: Siluvangi E.
Out: Iyombe K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Senegal W in this Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 tie, finishing 4-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Senegal W
20%
Draws
29%
D.R. Congo W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Senegal W have won more games recently than D.R. Congo W.
  • D.R. Congo W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Senegal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Senegal W, who have won 4 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Senegal W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 18%
D.R. Congo W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W D.R. Congo W
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1 1.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.09 1.34
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2025 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs D.R. Congo W
4:0
Jul 16, 2024 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs D.R. Congo W
2:0
Jul 12, 2024 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs D.R. Congo W
1:0
Oct 28, 2012 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs D.R. Congo W
0:1
Aug 5, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs D.R. Congo W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ndiaye N.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.84
Avg xA / game 0.55

D.R. Congo W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.22
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 23 / 100
D.R. Congo W 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W D.R. Congo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D.R. Congo W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

D.R. Congo W let in goals in 92% of their last 25 matches.

Senegal W scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Senegal W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS D.R. Congo W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.43
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.43
38% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 29%
13% Over 3.5 29%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal W

(Home)
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
Page 1 of 6

D.R. Congo W

(Away)
15 Apr
Thailand W
2 : 0
D.R. Congo W
12 Apr
Indonesia W
1 : 7
D.R. Congo W
28 Oct
South Africa W
1 : 0
D.R. Congo W
22 Oct
D.R. Congo W
1 : 1
South Africa W
12 Jul
Zambia W
1 : 0
D.R. Congo W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Morocco W 3 2 1 0 7:4 7
2 Zambia W 3 2 1 0 6:4 7
3 Senegal W 3 1 0 2 6:4 3
4 D.R. Congo W 3 0 0 3 2:9 0
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nigeria W 3 2 1 0 4:0 7
2 Algeria W 3 1 2 0 1:0 5
3 Botswana W 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
4 Tunisia W 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 South Africa W 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
2 Ghana W 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
3 Mali W 3 1 1 1 2:5 4
4 Tanzania W 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations Women 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams