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Senegal W vs Guinea W

World World

Friendly International Women 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ndiaye W.
45' Event
Malado H.
90' Event

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International Women 2025 game between Senegal W and Guinea W finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Senegal W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Senegal W
20%
Draws
29%
Guinea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Senegal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Senegal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Friendly International Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Senegal W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Senegal W Clean Sheet 10%
Guinea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senegal W Guinea W
Matches Played 33 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 5
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.18 1.29
Goals Conceded 0.97 2.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2025 Friendly International Women
Senegal W vs Guinea W
2:1
Mar 20, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Senegal W
1:1
Mar 5, 2016 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Guinea W
1:0
Mar 26, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Guinea W vs Senegal W
1:5
Mar 11, 2006 Africa Cup of Nations Women
Senegal W vs Guinea W
7:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senegal W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ndiaye W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Malado H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Guinea W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senegal W 29 / 100
Guinea W 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senegal W Guinea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senegal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guinea W has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Senegal W scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Senegal W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Senegal W VS Guinea W
1.38 Goals Scored 4
0.88 Goals Conceded 3
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Senegal W

(Home)
03 Aug
Senegal W
0 : 0
Morocco W
30 Jul
Senegal W
1 : 0
Kenya W
26 Jul
Algeria W
2 : 0
Senegal W
11 Jul
Egypt W
1 : 0
Senegal W
08 Jul
Egypt W
0 : 1
Senegal W
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Guinea W

(Away)
26 May
Guinea W
4 : 3
Gambia W
24 May
Sierra Leone W
3 : 1
Guinea W
22 May
Senegal W
2 : 1
Guinea W
26 Feb
Cape Verde W
4 : 1
Guinea W
21 Feb
Guinea W
2 : 2
Cape Verde W
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