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Senglea vs Zurrieq - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Malta Malta

Challenge League 2024/2025 Victor Tedesco Stadium, Hamrun
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Match Events

40'
Nakov A.
46'
Sub
Ngom M. L. In: Tweneboa B.
Out: Ngom M. L.
57'
Sub
Zerafa J. In: Ihuomah B.
Out: Zerafa J.

AI Match Summary

Zurrieq in this Challenge League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Zurrieq.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Senglea
15%
Draws
73%
Zurrieq
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Zurrieq

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Senglea haven't matched Zurrieq's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Zurrieq have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Senglea Clean Sheet 16%
Zurrieq Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senglea Zurrieq
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 3 13
Draws 6 3
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 0.77 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Challenge League
Senglea vs Zurrieq
1:3
Apr 13, 2024 Challenge League
Senglea vs Zurrieq
0:3
Feb 24, 2024 Challenge League
Zurrieq vs Senglea
1:1
Oct 1, 2023 Challenge League
Senglea vs Zurrieq
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senglea Compare

Top Goalscorer Farrugia I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Zurrieq Compare

Top Goalscorer Bah M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senglea 36 / 100
Zurrieq 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senglea Zurrieq

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Zurrieq Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Zurrieq's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Zurrieq lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Senglea scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Zurrieq
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Senglea

(Home)
12 Apr
Sirens
2 : 1
Senglea
06 Apr
Senglea
1 : 1
Lija
30 Mar
Senglea
1 : 2
Zebbug
12 Mar
Valletta
1 : 0
Senglea
09 Mar
Fgura
2 : 0
Senglea
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Zurrieq

(Away)
19 Sept
Zurrieq
1 : 2
Victoria Hotspurs
12 Sept
Sirens
1 : 0
Zurrieq
18 Apr
Zurrieq
4 : 2
Mgarr
12 Apr
Santa Lucia
3 : 0
Zurrieq
01 Apr
Zurrieq
2 : 1
Marsa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valletta 15 12 2 1 29:4 38
2 Tarxien 15 9 2 4 22:16 29
3 Marsa 15 8 4 3 25:13 28
4 Swieqi 15 8 4 3 23:18 28
5 Pieta 15 8 2 5 21:19 26
6 Santa Lucia 15 8 1 6 24:25 25
7 Mgarr 15 5 7 3 24:19 22
8 Zurrieq 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
9 Fgura 15 6 3 6 17:14 21
10 Gudja 15 6 3 6 21:22 21
11 Zebbug 15 3 8 4 22:20 17
12 Sirens 15 4 5 6 25:26 17
13 Lija 15 3 3 9 16:28 12
14 St. Andrews 15 2 4 9 11:23 10
15 Senglea 15 2 3 10 13:27 9
16 Mtarfa 15 2 1 12 10:30 7
Promotion - Challenge League 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Challenge League 2024/2025 (Relegation Group)