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Senica vs Trencin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Slovakia Slovakia

Fortuna liga 2021/2022 OMS ARENA Senica, Senica
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Duda D. In: Vrablic J.
Out: Duda D.
37' Event
Tucny A.
40' Event
Kupusovic N.
Assist: Tucny A.

AI Match Summary

Trencin in this Fortuna liga 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trencin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Senica
15%
Draws
42%
Trencin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Senica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Senica haven't matched Trencin's recent run of results.
  • Senica are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Fortuna liga 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Senica Clean Sheet 19%
Trencin Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senica Trencin
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 11 14
Draws 2 3
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.97 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2022 Nike liga
Senica vs Trencin
0:3
Mar 19, 2022 Nike liga
Trencin vs Senica
4:1
Dec 18, 2021 Nike liga
Senica vs Trencin
1:0
Sep 18, 2021 Nike liga
Trencin vs Senica
3:3
Feb 20, 2021 Nike liga
Senica vs Trencin
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Trencin Compare

Top Goalscorer Tucny A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kupusovic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senica 49 / 100
Trencin 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senica Trencin

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Trencin let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.

Trencin lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Senica's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Trencin
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Senica

(Home)
06 Aug
Senica
0 : 3
Galanta
20 Jul
Senica
2 : 1
Stefanov
10 Aug
Igram
:
Senica
21 May
FK Pohronie
1 : 0
Senica
14 May
Senica
0 : 3
Trencin
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Trencin

(Away)
03 Oct
Artis Brno
3 : 0
Trencin
19 Sept
Zilina
2 : 1
Trencin
12 Sept
Trencin
1 : 4
Dun. Streda
05 Sept
Michalovce
3 : 1
Trencin
02 Sept
Krasno
0 : 2
Trencin
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Trencin 32 13 9 10 58:43 48
8 L. Mikulas 32 11 7 14 42:57 40
9 Michalovce 32 12 4 16 32:42 40
10 Senica 32 9 7 16 29:51 34
11 Z. Moravce-Vrable 32 7 9 16 33:50 30
12 FK Pohronie 32 4 6 22 27:59 18
Relegation - 2. liga 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Fortuna liga 2021/2022 (Conference League - Play Offs)