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Senja vs Gjellerasen

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Nygard M.
46' Event
Grodtlien J.
51' Event
Akvag E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2022 game between Senja and Gjellerasen finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gjellerasen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Senja
20%
Draws
44%
Gjellerasen
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Gjellerasen

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Gjellerasen come out ahead of Senja on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Senja's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Senja Clean Sheet 18%
Gjellerasen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senja Gjellerasen
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 5 7
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.17 1.63
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 11, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Gjellerasen vs Senja
3:1
Apr 9, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Gjellerasen
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senja Compare

Top Goalscorer Uteng O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Gjellerasen Compare

Top Goalscorer Akvag E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nygard M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senja 85 / 100
Gjellerasen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senja Gjellerasen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Senja Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gjellerasen has conceded goals in 91% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Senja scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Senja has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gjellerasen
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Senja

(Home)
10 Apr
Senja
1 : 6
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2
Senja
16 Oct
Senja
0 : 0
Skjervoy
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Senja
01 Oct
Senja
2 : 1
Floya
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Gjellerasen

(Away)
27 Oct
Gjellerasen
1 : 5
Funnefoss/Vormsund
20 Oct
Ready
7 : 0
Gjellerasen
06 Oct
Gjellerasen
3 : 2
Aalesund 2
28 Sept
Skjetten
4 : 0
Gjellerasen
22 Sept
Gjellerasen
2 : 0
Hodd 2
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