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Senja vs Lillestrom 2

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Owusu E.
63' Event
Eliassen A.
66' Event
Suko B.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 2022 game between Senja and Lillestrom 2 finished 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Senja
20%
Draws
44%
Lillestrom 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lillestrom 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Lillestrom 2 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Lillestrom 2 taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 6 2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Senja Clean Sheet 10%
Lillestrom 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Senja Lillestrom 2
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 13
Draws 4 2
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.17 2.97
Goals Conceded 3.07 2.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Senja
1:1
Apr 24, 2022 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Lillestrom 2
3:3
Sep 10, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Lillestrom 2
3:0
May 28, 2017 Division 3 - Group 6
Lillestrom 2 vs Senja
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Senja Compare

Top Goalscorer Eliassen A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Suko B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Lillestrom 2 Compare

Top Goalscorer Owusu E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ismail N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.75
Avg xA / game 1.07

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Senja 10 / 100
Lillestrom 2 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Senja Lillestrom 2

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lillestrom 2 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lillestrom 2 has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Senja found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Recent resilience: Senja stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Lillestrom 2
0 Goals Scored 2.75
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Senja

(Home)
10 Apr
Senja
1 : 6
Tromsdalen (TUIL)
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2
Senja
16 Oct
Senja
0 : 0
Skjervoy
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0
Senja
01 Oct
Senja
2 : 1
Floya
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Lillestrom 2

(Away)
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Skedsmo
2 : 1
Lillestrom 2
06 Sept
Lillestrom 2
11 : 0
Bossekop
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
16 Aug
Lillestrom 2
3 : 4
Harstad
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