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Seoul vs Daejeon

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Joo Min-Kyu
Assist: Kang Yun-Sung
41'
Kang Yun-Sung
42'
Jeong Seung-Won

AI Match Summary

The K League 1 game between Seoul and Daejeon finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Seoul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Seoul
30%
Draws
41%
Daejeon
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Daejeon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Daejeon haven't matched Seoul's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Seoul taking it.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Seoul Clean Sheet 20%
Daejeon Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Seoul Daejeon
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 10
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.48 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Daejeon
4:2
May 16, 2026 K League 1
Daejeon vs Seoul
1:2
Apr 18, 2026 K League 1
Seoul vs Daejeon
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Seoul
3:1
Jul 27, 2025 K League 1
Daejeon vs Seoul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seoul Compare

Top Goalscorer Song Min-Kyu
2 Goals
Assists Leader Klimala P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Daejeon Compare

Top Goalscorer Joo Min-Kyu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 42 / 100
Daejeon 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Seoul Daejeon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seoul found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Daejeon's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Seoul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Daejeon
1 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Seoul

(Home)
15 Aug
Seoul
4 : 2
Daejeon
08 Aug
Gimcheon Sangmu
0 : 0
Seoul
01 Aug
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Seoul
29 Jul
Busan
2 : 0
Seoul
26 Jul
Seoul
1 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
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Daejeon

(Away)
15 Aug
Seoul
4 : 2
Daejeon
08 Aug
Anyang
1 : 2
Daejeon
02 Aug
Daejeon
2 : 0
Gwangju FC
25 Jul
Gimcheon Sangmu
3 : 2
Daejeon
21 Jul
Jeonbuk
0 : 0
Daejeon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Seoul 23 14 5 4 39:19 47
2 Ulsan Hyundai 23 11 4 8 37:33 37
3 Gangwon 22 9 8 5 28:19 35
4 Jeonbuk 23 9 7 7 30:22 34
5 Jeju SK 23 9 7 7 27:24 34
6 Pohang 23 9 4 10 22:25 31
7 Anyang 23 7 9 7 30:30 30
8 Incheon 22 8 6 8 29:25 30
9 Bucheon FC 1995 23 6 9 8 24:27 27
10 Daejeon 23 6 8 9 29:28 26
11 Gimcheon Sangmu 23 4 13 6 23:29 25
12 Gwangju FC 23 1 8 14 12:49 11
Promotion - K League 1 (Championship Group)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation Group)