Sport Picks

South Korea

K League 1 2025 Seoul World Cup Stadium

Seoul

1 - 3

Gimcheon Sangmu

Our Tip

Match Events

33'

Kim Joo-Chan

Assist: Park T.

45'

Lingard J.

Assist: Jeong Seung-Won

46'

Sub

Lee Seung-Mo In: Hwang Do-Yun

Out: Lee Seung-Mo

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gimcheon Sangmu in this K League 1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gimcheon Sangmu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

Seoul

11%

Draws

Gimcheon Sangmu

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Seoul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Seoul have won more games recently than Gimcheon Sangmu.
Win probability leans Seoul's way, sitting at 80%.
Regular K League 1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Seoul Clean Sheet 20%

Gimcheon Sangmu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Seoul	Gimcheon Sangmu
Matches Played	31	29
Wins	14	8
Draws	6	10
Losses	11	11
Goals Scored	1.5	1.13
Goals Conceded	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.50	1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 K League 1

Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 52% - 59% Cards: 2 - 1

2:3

Nov 22, 2025 K League 1

Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 1 - 2

1:3

Aug 17, 2025 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

6:2

May 28, 2025 K League 1

Gimcheon Sangmu vs Seoul

Possession: 46% - 49% Cards: 3 - 1

0:1

Mar 3, 2025 K League 1

Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 3 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Seoul Compare

Top Goalscorer Lingard J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.15

Avg xA / game 0.75

Gimcheon Sangmu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kim Joo-Chan

1 Goals

Assists Leader Park Se-Jin

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.03

Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Seoul 76 / 100

Gimcheon Sangmu 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Seoul Gimcheon Sangmu

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEO Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Seoul scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Gimcheon Sangmu has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Seoul went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Seoul VS Gimcheon Sangmu

1.5 Goals Scored 1.13

0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75

63% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Jeonbuk	38	23	10	5	64:32	79
2	Daejeon	38	18	11	9	58:46	65
3	Gimcheon Sangmu	38	18	7	13	59:45	61
4	Pohang	38	16	8	14	41:46	56
5	Gangwon	38	13	13	12	37:41	52
6	Seoul	38	12	13	13	50:52	49