Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan

Iran Iran

Persian Gulf Pro League Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Jalalivand A.
Assist: Baghaki S. D.
40'
Karami A.
45' Event
Rezavand A.
Assist: Rezaei K.

AI Match Summary

Sepahan in this Persian Gulf Pro League matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sepahan.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Sepahan
39%
Draws
31%
Esteghlal Khuzestan
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Sepahan have won more games recently than Esteghlal Khuzestan.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Persian Gulf Pro League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 68%
Esteghlal Khuzestan Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Esteghlal Khuzestan
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 8
Losses 8 13
Goals Scored 1 0.5
Goals Conceded 1 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 23, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
3:1
Oct 17, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan
0:2
Mar 6, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Esteghlal Khuzestan vs Sepahan
0:1
May 6, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Rezavand A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rezaei K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Esteghlal Khuzestan Compare

Top Goalscorer Jalalivand A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 41 / 100
Esteghlal Khuzestan 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Esteghlal Khuzestan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepahan's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Esteghlal Khuzestan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 27 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Sepahan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sepahan VS Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Esteghlal TEH22118329:1641
2Tractor22109330:1239
3Sepahan22116524:1339
4Gol Gohar23106724:2436
5Chadormalu2298527:1935
6Persepolis2297623:1934
7Foolad22710521:1631
8Fajr Sepasi2386925:2730
9Kheybar Khorramabad2378822:2429
10Malavan2278713:2129
11Esteghlal Khuzestan2267916:2325
12Paykan2359915:2124
13Shams Azar Qazvin23313715:1922
14Aluminium Arak22571014:2122
15Zob Ahan21310812:1919
16Mes Rafsanjan22361313:2915