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Stadium Background

Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad

Iran Iran

Hazfi Cup Naghsh-e-Jahan Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sepahan play Kheybar Khorramabad in the Hazfi Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sepahan averaged 1.14 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. Kheybar Khorramabad averaged 1 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, Sepahan won 4, Kheybar Khorramabad won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 6, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.25 for Sepahan and 1.06 for Kheybar Khorramabad. This points to a Sepahan double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Sepahan
21%
Draws
31%
Kheybar Khorramabad
Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Sepahan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Sepahan picked up more points recently compared to Kheybar Khorramabad.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.25 vs 1.06 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 54%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Sepahan Clean Sheet 22%
Kheybar Khorramabad Clean Sheet 11%
First Half Goal 49%
Second Half Goal 51%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepahan Kheybar Khorramabad
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1
Goals Conceded 0.71 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 6, 2026 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1:0
Dec 21, 2025 Hazfi Cup
Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
1:3
Sep 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan
0:1
Jan 26, 2025 Persian Gulf Pro League
Sepahan vs Kheybar Khorramabad
2:0
Aug 23, 2024 Persian Gulf Pro League
Kheybar Khorramabad vs Sepahan
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepahan Compare

Top Goalscorer Askari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kheybar Khorramabad Compare

Top Goalscorer Sefid M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khanzadi A. M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepahan 48 / 100
Kheybar Khorramabad 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepahan Kheybar Khorramabad

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sepahan or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.9%
3.13
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sepahan attacking → ← attacking Kheybar Khorramabad

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepahan scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Kheybar Khorramabad let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Sepahan went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Kheybar Khorramabad lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 37
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50