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Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste

Romania Romania

Liga 2 2025/2026 Stadionul Sepsi, Sfantu Gheorghe
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Sub
Iglesias D. In: Silaghi R.
Out: Iglesias D.
24'
Oroian D.
46'
Sub
Oroian D. In: Otelita B.
Out: Oroian D.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025/2026 game between Sepsi and Chindia Targoviste finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Sepsi
15%
Draws
59%
Chindia Targoviste
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chindia Targoviste

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sepsi come out ahead of Chindia Targoviste on wins alone.
  • Chindia Targoviste are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sepsi Clean Sheet 13%
Chindia Targoviste Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sepsi Chindia Targoviste
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 11
Draws 11 3
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 1.27 1.52
Goals Conceded 0.87 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 2
Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste
1:1
Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2
Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi
0:1
Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2
Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi
3:0
Feb 13, 2023 Superliga
Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste
2:2
Sep 10, 2022 Superliga
Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Heras N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chindia Targoviste Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumtsios K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepsi 10 / 100
Chindia Targoviste 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sepsi Chindia Targoviste

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chindia Targoviste Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepsi scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Chindia Targoviste has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Sepsi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sepsi VS Chindia Targoviste
1 Goals Scored 2.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Sepsi

(Home)
26 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 1
Gloria Bistrita
18 Sept
FC UTA Arad
1 : 0
Sepsi
12 Sept
Sepsi
3 : 1
CFR Cluj
05 Sept
FC Botosani
5 : 0
Sepsi
01 Sept
Sepsi
1 : 3
CFR Cluj
Page 1 of 6

Chindia Targoviste

(Away)
19 Sept
Unirea Slobozia
0 : 1
Chindia Targoviste
13 Sept
Chindia Targoviste
4 : 0
Selimbar
04 Sept
CSM Slatina
3 : 2
Chindia Targoviste
01 Sept
Chindia Targoviste
0 : 1
Voluntari
29 Aug
Metalul Buzau
1 : 3
Chindia Targoviste
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corvinul Hunedoara 10 5 1 4 13:8 69
2 Sepsi 10 6 2 2 15:8 64
3 Voluntari 10 8 1 1 21:8 64
4 FC Bihor 10 3 2 5 16:21 50
5 Steaua Bucuresti 10 3 1 6 13:19 49
6 Chindia Targoviste 10 1 1 8 7:21 43
Promotion - Superliga (Main)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Promotion - Superliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)