Sport Picks

Romania

Liga 2 Stadionul Sepsi

Chindia Targoviste

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sepsi play Chindia Targoviste in the Liga 2. It looks like a close match. Recently, Sepsi averaged 1.83 goals scored and 0.9 conceded. Chindia Targoviste averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.55 conceded. In past meetings, Sepsi won 2, Chindia Targoviste won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.63 for Sepsi and 0.76 for Chindia Targoviste. This points to a Sepsi double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Sepsi

24%

Draws

27%

Chindia Targoviste

Draw rate projection: 24% Favored: Sepsi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence

Sepsi picked up more points recently compared to Chindia Targoviste.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.63 vs 0.76 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 80%

Over 2.5 Goals 53%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%

Sepsi Clean Sheet 27%

Chindia Targoviste Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 72%

Second Half Goal 76%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sepsi	Chindia Targoviste
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	18	11
Draws	7	3
Losses	5	15
Goals Scored	1.83	1.55
Goals Conceded	0.9	1.55
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga 2

Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:1

Apr 18, 2026 Liga 2

Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi

Possession: 47% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

0:1

Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2

Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi

Possession: 48% - 47% Cards: 1 - 1

3:0

Feb 13, 2023 Superliga

Sepsi vs Chindia Targoviste

Possession: 50% - 53% Cards: 1 - 2

2:2

Sep 10, 2022 Superliga

Chindia Targoviste vs Sepsi

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 2 - 2

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sepsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Heras N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Chindia Targoviste Compare

Top Goalscorer Doumtsios K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.57

Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sepsi 50 / 100

Chindia Targoviste 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sepsi Chindia Targoviste

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Sepsi or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.9%

2.13

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Sepsi attacking → ← attacking Chindia Targoviste

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sepsi scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Chindia Targoviste let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Sepsi went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Chindia Targoviste lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

61 Points in last 5 36

1.38 Goals expected (xG) 0.63

0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corvinul Hunedoara	10	5	1	4	13:8	69
2	Sepsi	10	6	2	2	15:8	64
3	Voluntari	10	8	1	1	21:8	64
4	FC Bihor	10	3	2	5	16:21	50
5	Steaua Bucuresti	10	3	1	6	13:19	49
6	Chindia Targoviste	10	1	1	8	7:21	43