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Septemvri Dragoevo vs Devnya 2005 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Dragoevo host Devnya 2005 in the Third League - North-East. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Septemvri Dragoevo at 1.71 goals for, 2.43 against; Devnya 2005 at 1 for, 2 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.63 xG vs 1.50) point toward Septemvri Dragoevo. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Septemvri Dragoevo
30%
Draws
31%
Devnya 2005
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Dragoevo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Septemvri Dragoevo average 1.71 goals a game right now, well clear of Devnya 2005's 1.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Septemvri Dragoevo taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Septemvri Dragoevo Clean Sheet 16%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Dragoevo Devnya 2005
Matches Played 7 7
Wins 2 2
Draws 2 1
Losses 3 4
Goals Scored 1.71 1
Goals Conceded 2.43 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Dragoevo 39 / 100
Devnya 2005 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Dragoevo Devnya 2005

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Dragoevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Dragoevo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 7 recent games.

Defensive concern: Devnya 2005 conceded in 86% of 7 recent games.

Septemvri Dragoevo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Difficult form: Devnya 2005 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Dragoevo VS Devnya 2005
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Dragoevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
1 : 1
Benkovski
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
Page 1 of 2

Devnya 2005

(Away)
03 Oct
Devnya 2005
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
26 Sept
Fratria II
1 : 0
Devnya 2005
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
30 Aug
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Benkovski
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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