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Septemvri Dragoevo vs FK Riltzi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Septemvri Dragoevo and FK Riltzi finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Dragoevo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Septemvri Dragoevo
20%
Draws
44%
FK Riltzi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Riltzi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and FK Riltzi come out ahead of Septemvri Dragoevo on wins alone.
  • Septemvri Dragoevo are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Septemvri Dragoevo Clean Sheet 16%
FK Riltzi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Dragoevo FK Riltzi
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 2 8
Draws 2 2
Losses 3 19
Goals Scored 1.71 1
Goals Conceded 2.43 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Dragoevo vs FK Riltzi
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Dragoevo 48 / 100
FK Riltzi 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Dragoevo FK Riltzi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Dragoevo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Dragoevo scored in 86% of their last 7 games.

FK Riltzi's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Septemvri Dragoevo has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Dragoevo VS FK Riltzi
1.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Dragoevo

(Home)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
1 : 1
Benkovski
19 Sept
Volov Shumen
4 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 1
Septemvri Dragoevo
Page 1 of 2

FK Riltzi

(Away)
26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0
FK Riltzi
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
12 Sept
Septemvri Dragoevo
4 : 2
FK Riltzi
05 Sept
FK Riltzi
4 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
30 Aug
Fratria II
0 : 1
FK Riltzi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 0 4 8:12 9
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 0 5 2:18 0
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