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Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa Petrich - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli host Belasitsa Petrich in the Third League - South-West. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Belasitsa Petrich have shipped 2.03 goals a game lately, while Septemvri Simitli have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.38. Head-to-head, Septemvri Simitli have won 3 to Belasitsa Petrich's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 29, 2020, ending 0:2. Model xG sits at 1.69 vs 1.81, favoring Septemvri Simitli. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Septemvri Simitli
15%
Draws
0%
Belasitsa Petrich
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 11%
Belasitsa Petrich Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Belasitsa Petrich
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.38 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 29, 2020 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Septemvri Simitli
0:2
Aug 10, 2019 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa Petrich
3:1
May 4, 2019 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa Petrich
0:0
Oct 27, 2018 Third League - South-West
Belasitsa Petrich vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Mar 17, 2018 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Belasitsa Petrich
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 40 / 100
Belasitsa Petrich 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Belasitsa Petrich

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belasitsa Petrich let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Belasitsa Petrich lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (32 games).

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Belasitsa Petrich
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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Belasitsa Petrich

(Away)
07 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Balkan Botevgrad
04 Oct
Belasitsa Petrich
1 : 2
Dobrudzha
26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1
Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Belasitsa Petrich
0 : 1
Kostinbrod
13 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 0
Belasitsa Petrich
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