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Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Septemvri Simitli and CSKA Sofia III finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Septemvri Simitli
30%
Draws
47%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CSKA Sofia III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives CSKA Sofia III a 47% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 16%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 14 11
Draws 5 10
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.43 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Simitli
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Simitli
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 19 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CSKA Sofia III Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Simitli's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

CSKA Sofia III let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Septemvri Simitli has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS CSKA Sofia III
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
03 Oct
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
26 Sept
Slivnishki Geroy
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
12 Sept
Levski Sofia II
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
05 Sept
CSKA Sofia III
3 : 2
Slavia Sofia 2
29 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
2 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
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