Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West game between Septemvri Simitli and CSKA Sofia III finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Septemvri Simitli
35%
Draws
27%
CSKA Sofia III
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
CSKA Sofia III Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli CSKA Sofia III
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.06 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III
2:0
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Simitli
1:1
Apr 2, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs CSKA Sofia III
1:1
Sep 7, 2024 Third League - South-West
CSKA Sofia III vs Septemvri Simitli
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 58 / 100
CSKA Sofia III 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli CSKA Sofia III

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Septemvri Simitli stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Simitli scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

CSKA Sofia III has conceded goals in 59% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS CSKA Sofia III
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kostinbrod
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
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CSKA Sofia III

(Away)
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0
Strumska Slava
01 Aug
Oborishte Panagyurishte
1 : 1
CSKA Sofia III
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0
Kostinbrod
23 May
Bistritsa
0 : 3
CSKA Sofia III
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