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Stadium Background

Septemvri Simitli vs Germaneya

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2018/2019 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
Septemvri Simitli Logo

Septemvri Simitli

3 - 0
FT
Germaneya Logo

Germaneya

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Third League - South-West 2018/2019 game between Septemvri Simitli and Germaneya finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

69%
Septemvri Simitli
15%
Draws
16%
Germaneya
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Septemvri Simitli here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
Germaneya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Germaneya
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 19 4
Draws 4 4
Losses 11 22
Goals Scored 1.59 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.03 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2026 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Germaneya
4:1
May 23, 2019 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
0:3
Nov 17, 2018 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Germaneya
3:0
Feb 24, 2018 Third League - South-West
Germaneya vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Germaneya 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Germaneya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Germaneya has conceded goals in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Septemvri Simitli has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Septemvri Simitli found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Germaneya
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0
CSKA Sofia III
08 Aug
Balkan Botevgrad
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kostinbrod
18 Jul
Belasica Strumica
0 : 3
Septemvri Simitli
29 May
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0
Kyustendil
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Germaneya

(Away)
30 May
Oborishte Panagyurishte
5 : 1
Germaneya
21 May
Germaneya
0 : 2
Pirin Razlog
14 May
Bansko
3 : 1
Germaneya
09 May
Germaneya
3 : 4
Gotse Delchev
02 May
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2
Germaneya
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hebar 34 29 3 2 73:19 90
2 Oborishte Panagyurishte 34 23 6 5 60:27 75
3 Vihren 34 18 8 8 52:35 62
4 Bansko 34 16 10 8 56:37 58
5 Slivnishki Geroy 34 16 9 9 60:35 57
6 Minyor Pernik 34 15 11 8 57:37 56
7 Pirin Razlog 34 13 10 11 47:35 49
8 Rilski Sportist 34 12 10 12 47:42 46
9 Belasitsa Petrich 34 11 11 12 43:37 44
10 Septemvri Simitli 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
11 Chavdar Etropole 34 11 8 15 54:47 41
12 Marek 34 11 8 15 35:37 41
13 Balkan Botevgrad 34 10 8 16 41:57 38
14 Nadezhda Dobroslavci 34 9 11 14 40:61 38
15 Svoge 34 10 7 17 45:61 37
16 Botev Ihtiman 34 10 2 22 35:75 32
17 Germaneya 34 8 6 20 36:70 30
18 Velbazhd 34 2 5 27 22:89 11
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