Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Hebar 2 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2023/2024 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
49%
15%
36%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Simitli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
49%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hebar 2 haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Septemvri Simitli's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 20%
Hebar 2 Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Hebar 2 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 5 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 19 |
| Goals Scored | 1.32 | 0.8 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Hebar 2
1:0
Sep 30, 2023 Third League - South-West
Hebar 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 85 / 100
Hebar 2 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Simitli Hebar 2
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Septemvri Simitli Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Hebar 2 conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
Septemvri Simitli scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Hebar 2's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Simitli VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2 Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 3
Hebar 2
(Away) 06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1 Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0 Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0 Hebar 2
18 May
Hebar 2
3 : 0 Chavdar Etropole
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1 Hebar 2
Page 1 of 6
06 Jun
Oborishte Panagyurishte
7 : 1 Hebar 2
01 Jun
Pirin Razlog
3 : 0 Hebar 2
25 May
Vihren
3 : 0 Hebar 2
11 May
Rilski Sportist
3 : 1 Hebar 2
01 May
Bansko
1 : 2 Hebar 2
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Minyor Pernik | 38 | 31 | 4 | 3 | 78:29 | 97 |
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 38 | 25 | 5 | 8 | 68:39 | 80 |
| 3 | Botev Ihtiman | 38 | 20 | 7 | 11 | 70:52 | 67 |
| 4 | Vihren | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 66:46 | 66 |
| 5 | Slivnishki Geroy | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 52:47 | 58 |
| 6 | Levski Sofia II | 38 | 16 | 8 | 14 | 61:51 | 56 |
| 7 | Rilski Sportist | 38 | 16 | 4 | 18 | 58:61 | 52 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 38 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 63:62 | 50 |
| 9 | CSKA 1948 Sofia III | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 57:55 | 49 |
| 10 | Bansko | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 50:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 50:46 | 48 |
| 12 | Bistritsa | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 30:35 | 47 |
| 13 | Kyustendil | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 53:54 | 46 |
| 14 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 54:64 | 46 |
| 15 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 58:75 | 46 |
| 16 | Septemvri Simitli | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 48:50 | 45 |
| 17 | Pirin Razlog | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 38:55 | 45 |
| 18 | Kostinbrod | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 40:63 | 43 |
| 19 | Hebar 2 | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 35:63 | 33 |
| 20 | Chavdar Etropole | 38 | 13 | 2 | 23 | 46:74 | 41 |
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