Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Kyustendil - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Simitli host Kyustendil in the Third League - South-West. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Septemvri Simitli have averaged 1.39 scored and 1.16 conceded recently, against Kyustendil's 1.1 scored and 1.5 conceded. Head-to-head, Septemvri Simitli have won 2 to Kyustendil's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on May 29, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.44 vs 1.44, favoring Septemvri Simitli. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Kyustendil haven't matched Septemvri Simitli's recent run of results.
- Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
- Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Kyustendil |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.39 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.44 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Septemvri Simitli's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Kyustendil's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.
Away concern: Kyustendil has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
