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Septemvri Simitli vs Minyor Pernik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia
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AI Match Summary

Minyor Pernik in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Minyor Pernik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Septemvri Simitli
15%
Draws
64%
Minyor Pernik
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Minyor Pernik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Simitli lately — more wins on the board than Minyor Pernik.
  • Minyor Pernik are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Minyor Pernik here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 10%
Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Minyor Pernik
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 10
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.38 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Minyor Pernik
0:2
Mar 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Minyor Pernik
0:1
Aug 19, 2023 Third League - South-West
Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Simitli
4:1
Dec 11, 2021 Vtora liga
Septemvri Simitli vs Minyor Pernik
2:2
Aug 3, 2021 Vtora liga
Minyor Pernik vs Septemvri Simitli
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 10 / 100
Minyor Pernik 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Minyor Pernik

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Minyor Pernik Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Septemvri Simitli's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Minyor Pernik let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Septemvri Simitli stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Minyor Pernik
1.25 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Simitli

(Home)
03 Oct
Strumska Slava
1 : 2
Septemvri Simitli
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3
Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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Minyor Pernik

(Away)
07 Oct
Minyor Pernik
5 : 1
Slavia Sofia 2
04 Oct
Minyor Pernik
1 : 2
Beroe
26 Sept
Botev Ihtiman
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
19 Sept
Minyor Pernik
2 : 0
Kyustendil
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2
Minyor Pernik
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