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Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski
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Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Septemvri Simitli
20%
Draws
38%
Septemvri Sofia 2
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Simitli has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Septemvri Sofia 2.
  • Model forecasts a 42% win probability edge for Septemvri Simitli.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Third League - South-West 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 12%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Septemvri Sofia 2
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 10
Draws 4 9
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2
1:0
Apr 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:2
Oct 6, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Septemvri Sofia 2
3:0
Mar 2, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 40 / 100
Septemvri Sofia 2 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Septemvri Sofia 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Simitli scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Septemvri Sofia 2 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Septemvri Simitli went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Septemvri Sofia 2 lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Septemvri Sofia 2
1.5 Goals Scored 2.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238