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Stadium Background

Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West National Stadium Vasil Levski
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Simitli in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Simitli.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Septemvri Simitli
17%
Draws
13%
Slivnishki Geroy
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Septemvri Simitli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Simitli lately — more wins on the board than Slivnishki Geroy.
  • Model gives Septemvri Simitli a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 17%
Slivnishki Geroy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Simitli Slivnishki Geroy
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 4 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 29, 2025 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
2:1
Aug 9, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - South-West
Slivnishki Geroy vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Aug 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:3
Feb 24, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Slivnishki Geroy
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Simitli 66 / 100
Slivnishki Geroy 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Simitli Slivnishki Geroy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Simitli scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Slivnishki Geroy's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Septemvri Simitli remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Simitli VS Slivnishki Geroy
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Rilski Sportist34255458:2380
2Strumska Slava34205971:4565
3Slavia Sofia 2341761168:4457
4Botev Ihtiman341491153:4051
5Kyustendil341551449:5250
6CSKA Sofia III341551449:4350
7Oborishte Panagyurishte341471343:3749
8Balkan Botevgrad3413101150:4549
9Septemvri Sofia 2341391250:4348
10Septemvri Simitli341381341:4047
11Kostinbrod341451547:5147
12Pirin Razlog341361543:4845
13Bansko3411111239:4544
14Slivnishki Geroy341191440:4942
15Levski Sofia II341171630:4440
16Gotse Delchev341141943:7037
17Germaneya34462438:7518
18Bistritsa341151844:6238