Sport Picks
Septemvri Simitli vs Strumska Slava
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski, Sofia 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - South-West 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Simitli and Strumska Slava finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Simitli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
15%
20%
65%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Strumska Slava
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Strumska Slava come out ahead of Septemvri Simitli on wins alone.
- 65% — that's where the model lands on Strumska Slava taking it.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Septemvri Simitli Clean Sheet 12%
Strumska Slava Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Simitli | Strumska Slava |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 3 |
| Losses | 13 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Simitli vs Strumska Slava
3:2
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
3:2
Jan 27, 2024 Club Friendly
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
1:0
Apr 2, 2022 Vtora liga
Strumska Slava vs Septemvri Simitli
0:1
Sep 17, 2021 Vtora liga
Septemvri Simitli vs Strumska Slava
1:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Simitli 11 / 100
Strumska Slava 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Simitli Strumska Slava
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Strumska Slava Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.20 goals.
Septemvri Simitli scored in 74% of their last 31 games.
Strumska Slava let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.
Septemvri Simitli went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Simitli VS Strumska Slava
1.63 Goals Scored 2.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Simitli
(Home) 26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
19 Sept
Bansko
3 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1 Septemvri Simitli
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
1 : 3 Oborishte Panagyurishte
12 Sept
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 2 Minyor Pernik
29 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
3 : 3 Natsional Sofia
15 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
0 : 0 CSKA Sofia III
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
Page 1 of 3
Strumska Slava
(Away) 26 Sept
Strumska Slava
2 : 1 Belasitsa Petrich
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2 Strumska Slava
12 Sept
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Bansko
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
29 Aug
Strumska Slava
3 : 0 Pirin Razlog
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Oborishte Panagyurishte
3 : 2 Strumska Slava
05 Sept
Minyor Pernik
5 : 2 Strumska Slava
22 Aug
Natsional Sofia
0 : 3 Strumska Slava
08 Aug
CSKA Sofia III
0 : 0 Strumska Slava
30 May
Pirin Razlog
2 : 1 Strumska Slava
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
