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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Chavdar Etropole in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Chavdar Etropole.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Septemvri Sofia 2
15%
Draws
34%
Chavdar Etropole
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Chavdar Etropole haven't matched Septemvri Sofia 2's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Septemvri Sofia 2 a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Chavdar Etropole Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Chavdar Etropole
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 3
Draws 7 1
Losses 8 25
Goals Scored 1.53 0.41
Goals Conceded 0.8 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
0:1
Mar 30, 2024 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Sofia 2
0:3
Dec 2, 2023 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
0:1
Dec 4, 2022 Third League - South-West
Chavdar Etropole vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2
Sep 17, 2022 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Chavdar Etropole
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 85 / 100
Chavdar Etropole 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Chavdar Etropole

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chavdar Etropole has conceded goals in 97% of their last 29 outings.

Septemvri Sofia 2's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Septemvri Sofia 2 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Chavdar Etropole
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Home)
07 Oct
Natsional Sofia
1 : 2
Septemvri Sofia 2
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
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Chavdar Etropole

(Away)
03 Oct
Chavdar Etropole
2 : 1
Slivnishki Geroy
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
19 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 3
Levski Sofia II
12 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
4 : 0
Chavdar Etropole
05 Sept
Chavdar Etropole
1 : 4
Botev Ihtiman
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