Sport Picks

Bulgaria

Third League - South-West

Septemvri Sofia 2

4 - 0

Kostinbrod

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia 2 in this Third League - South-West matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Sofia 2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Septemvri Sofia 2

Draws

Kostinbrod

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Septemvri Sofia 2

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Kostinbrod have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia 2.
Model gives Septemvri Sofia 2 a 90% chance of winning this.
Regular Third League - South-West form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%

Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Septemvri Sofia 2	Kostinbrod
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	9	5
Losses	11	13
Goals Scored	2.38	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 41% - 59% Cards: 3 - 3

4:0

Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Possession: 43% - 47% Cards: 1 - 0

2:2

May 29, 2024 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 3 - 1

3:0

Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-West

Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2

Possession: 50% - 42% Cards: 2 - 0

2:2

Apr 2, 2022 Third League - South-West

Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod

Possession: 57% - 49% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 85 / 100

Kostinbrod 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Septemvri Sofia 2 Kostinbrod

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SEP Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Septemvri Sofia 2 found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Kostinbrod has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Septemvri Sofia 2 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Kostinbrod

2.38 Goals Scored 0.88

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

50% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Rilski Sportist	34	25	5	4	58:23	80
2	Strumska Slava	34	20	5	9	71:45	65
3	Slavia Sofia 2	34	17	6	11	68:44	57
4	Botev Ihtiman	34	14	9	11	53:40	51
5	Kyustendil	34	15	5	14	49:52	50
6	CSKA Sofia III	34	15	5	14	49:43	50
7	Oborishte Panagyurishte	34	14	7	13	43:37	49
8	Balkan Botevgrad	34	13	10	11	50:45	49
9	Septemvri Sofia 2	34	13	9	12	50:43	48
10	Septemvri Simitli	34	13	8	13	41:40	47
11	Kostinbrod	34	14	5	15	47:51	47
12	Pirin Razlog	34	13	6	15	43:48	45
13	Bansko	34	11	11	12	39:45	44
14	Slivnishki Geroy	34	11	9	14	40:49	42
15	Levski Sofia II	34	11	7	16	30:44	40
16	Gotse Delchev	34	11	4	19	43:70	37
17	Germaneya	34	4	6	24	38:75	18
18	Bistritsa	34	11	5	18	44:62	38