Sport Picks
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
Bulgaria
Third League - South-West 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Septemvri Sofia 2 in this Third League - South-West 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Sofia 2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
15%
48%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kostinbrod
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Kostinbrod have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia 2.
- Model gives Septemvri Sofia 2 a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Third League - South-West 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Kostinbrod Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Sofia 2 | Kostinbrod |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.27 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 16, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
4:0
Oct 4, 2025 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2
May 29, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
3:0
Oct 27, 2023 Third League - South-West
Kostinbrod vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:2
Apr 2, 2022 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Kostinbrod
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Sofia 2 36 / 100
Kostinbrod 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Sofia 2 Kostinbrod
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Septemvri Sofia 2 found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (31 games).
Kostinbrod has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Septemvri Sofia 2 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Kostinbrod
1.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Sofia 2
(Home) 29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
15 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 1 Septemvri Sofia 2
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
02 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 2 Septemvri Sofia 2
Page 1 of 7
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2 Slivnishki Geroy
08 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
23 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 0 Septemvri Simitli
09 May
Septemvri Sofia 2
5 : 1 Slavia Sofia 2
25 Apr
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0 Oborishte Panagyurishte
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Kostinbrod
(Away) 29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2 Kostinbrod
23 Aug
Kostinbrod
1 : 0 Slavia Sofia 2
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
08 Aug
Kostinbrod
3 : 1 Kyustendil
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
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29 Aug
Levski Sofia II
1 : 2 Kostinbrod
15 Aug
Botev Ihtiman
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
01 Aug
Septemvri Simitli
2 : 0 Kostinbrod
30 May
CSKA Sofia III
1 : 0 Kostinbrod
16 May
Septemvri Simitli
4 : 1 Kostinbrod
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rilski Sportist | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 58:23 | 80 |
| 2 | Strumska Slava | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 71:45 | 65 |
| 3 | Slavia Sofia 2 | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 68:44 | 57 |
| 4 | Botev Ihtiman | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 53:40 | 51 |
| 5 | Kyustendil | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:52 | 50 |
| 6 | CSKA Sofia III | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 49:43 | 50 |
| 7 | Oborishte Panagyurishte | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 43:37 | 49 |
| 8 | Balkan Botevgrad | 34 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 50:45 | 49 |
| 9 | Septemvri Sofia 2 | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 50:43 | 48 |
| 10 | Septemvri Simitli | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 41:40 | 47 |
| 11 | Kostinbrod | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 47:51 | 47 |
| 12 | Pirin Razlog | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 43:48 | 45 |
| 13 | Bansko | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 39:45 | 44 |
| 14 | Slivnishki Geroy | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 40:49 | 42 |
| 15 | Levski Sofia II | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 30:44 | 40 |
| 16 | Gotse Delchev | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 43:70 | 37 |
| 17 | Germaneya | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 38:75 | 18 |
| 18 | Bistritsa | 34 | 11 | 5 | 18 | 44:62 | 38 |
Relegation - Third League - South-West 2025/2026 (Relegation)
