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Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Pirin Razlog - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-West
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia 2 host Pirin Razlog in the Third League - South-West. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Septemvri Sofia 2 have averaged 1.57 scored and 0.79 conceded recently, against Pirin Razlog's 1.17 scored and 1.73 conceded. Past meetings favor Pirin Razlog slightly — 1-4-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 7, 2026, ending 3:0. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 0.81) point toward Septemvri Sofia 2. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Septemvri Sofia 2
15%
Draws
46%
Pirin Razlog
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pirin Razlog

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Sofia 2 come out ahead of Pirin Razlog on wins alone.
  • Model gives Septemvri Sofia 2 a 39% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pirin Razlog have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Septemvri Sofia 2 Clean Sheet 20%
Pirin Razlog Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia 2 Pirin Razlog
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 14 12
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.57 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Pirin Razlog
3:0
Aug 30, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Sofia 2
3:1
Apr 5, 2025 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Sofia 2
3:0
Sep 14, 2024 Third League - South-West
Septemvri Sofia 2 vs Pirin Razlog
0:5
Apr 13, 2024 Third League - South-West
Pirin Razlog vs Septemvri Sofia 2
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 2 85 / 100
Pirin Razlog 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia 2 Pirin Razlog

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Sofia 2 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Septemvri Sofia 2's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Pirin Razlog let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Septemvri Sofia 2 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia 2 VS Pirin Razlog
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia 2

(Home)
26 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
0 : 1
Chavdar Etropole
12 Sept
Septemvri Sofia 2
2 : 0
Balkan Botevgrad
05 Sept
Kostinbrod
1 : 3
Septemvri Sofia 2
29 Aug
Septemvri Sofia 2
1 : 2
Slivnishki Geroy
22 Aug
Belasitsa Petrich
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia 2
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Pirin Razlog

(Away)
03 Oct
Pirin Razlog
1 : 2
Levski Sofia II
26 Sept
Slavia Sofia 2
5 : 0
Pirin Razlog
19 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 0
Botev Ihtiman
12 Sept
Kyustendil
0 : 1
Pirin Razlog
05 Sept
Pirin Razlog
1 : 1
Septemvri Simitli
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