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Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

efbet League Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Sofia host Dunav Ruse in the efbet League. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Septemvri Sofia at 1 goals for, 1.34 against; Dunav Ruse at 0.89 for, 1.25 against. Head-to-head, Septemvri Sofia have won 0 to Dunav Ruse's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2024, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward Septemvri Sofia. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Septemvri Sofia
30%
Draws
23%
Dunav Ruse
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Septemvri Sofia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Septemvri Sofia lately — more wins on the board than Dunav Ruse.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular efbet League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 16%
Dunav Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Dunav Ruse
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 4
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2024 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1:2
Oct 2, 2023 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia
1:1
Feb 27, 2021 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
0:0
Aug 19, 2020 Vtora liga
Dunav Ruse vs Septemvri Sofia
0:0
May 22, 2019 efbet League
Septemvri Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 31 / 100
Dunav Ruse 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Dunav Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Septemvri Sofia scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Dunav Ruse conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Dunav Ruse's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Dunav Ruse
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
0 : 3
Botev Plovdiv
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
Page 1 of 6

Dunav Ruse

(Away)
03 Oct
Ludogorets II
1 : 1
Dunav Ruse
26 Sept
Cherno More
1 : 0
Dunav Ruse
19 Sept
Dunav Ruse
2 : 2
Botev Vratsa
12 Sept
CSKA 1948 Sofia
2 : 1
Dunav Ruse
07 Sept
Dunav Ruse
0 : 1
Slavia Sofia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levski Sofia 9 8 1 0 21:4 25
2 CSKA Sofia 10 7 3 0 24:7 24
3 Ludogorets 9 7 2 0 16:7 23
4 CSKA 1948 Sofia 10 7 1 2 19:10 22
5 Arda 10 5 2 3 15:12 17
6 Botev Plovdiv 10 5 1 4 16:14 16
7 Slavia Sofia 10 2 5 3 9:8 11
8 Spartak Varna 10 2 4 4 10:15 10
9 Botev Vratsa 10 2 3 5 9:19 9
10 Septemvri Sofia 10 2 2 6 8:18 8
11 Lok. Sofia 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
12 Lok. Plovdiv 10 2 1 7 5:13 7
13 Cherno More 10 1 3 6 11:20 6
14 Dunav Ruse 10 1 2 7 10:19 5
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
Relegation - efbet League (Relegation Group)