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Septemvri Sofia vs Marek

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Fontaine N.
39' Event
Kaymakanski H.
(Penalty)
49' Event
Todorov N.

AI Match Summary

Marek in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marek.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Septemvri Sofia
20%
Draws
47%
Marek
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Marek

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Marek have won more games recently than Septemvri Sofia.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Septemvri Sofia Clean Sheet 19%
Marek Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Sofia Marek
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.3 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Marek
3:0
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
Septemvri Sofia vs Marek
1:3
Apr 26, 2024 Vtora liga
Marek vs Septemvri Sofia
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Marek
0:0
Dec 5, 2021 Vtora liga
Septemvri Sofia vs Marek
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Septemvri Sofia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fontaine N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Marek Compare

Top Goalscorer Todorov N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Goranov D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Sofia 36 / 100
Marek 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Sofia Marek

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Marek Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Sofia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Septemvri Sofia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Marek let in goals in 52% of their last 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Sofia VS Marek
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Sofia

(Home)
14 Sept
Ludogorets
2 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
04 Sept
Septemvri Sofia
2 : 3
Botev Vratsa
28 Aug
Slavia Sofia
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
23 Aug
Septemvri Sofia
1 : 0
CSKA 1948 Sofia
17 Aug
Spartak Varna
0 : 1
Septemvri Sofia
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Marek

(Away)
13 Sept
Marek
3 : 0
Pirin Blagoevgrad
06 Sept
Yantra Gabrovo
3 : 0
Marek
02 Sept
Marek
1 : 0
Nesebar
29 Aug
Svoge
0 : 0
Marek
23 Aug
Marek
4 : 2
Dobrudzha
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