Sport Picks
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Septemvri Tervel and Chernolomets finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chernolomets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
30%
38%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Chernolomets
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Septemvri Tervel come out ahead of Chernolomets on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Chernolomets's way, sitting at 50%.
- Regular Third League - North-East 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 16%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Septemvri Tervel | Chernolomets |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 20 | 17 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.63 | 2.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 22, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets
0:4
Oct 18, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Septemvri Tervel
3:0
Mar 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1
Sep 6, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets
3:1
Mar 30, 2024 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Chernolomets
3:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Septemvri Tervel 23 / 100
Chernolomets 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Septemvri Tervel Chernolomets
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Chernolomets Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Septemvri Tervel's goal record stands at 85% scoring rate across 27 recent games.
Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.
Solid form: Septemvri Tervel remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.
Chernolomets let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Septemvri Tervel VS Chernolomets
2.25 Goals Scored 2
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Septemvri Tervel
(Home) 03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1 Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0 Septemvri Dragoevo
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1 Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2 Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1 Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1 Spartak Varna II
Page 1 of 3
Chernolomets
(Away) 26 Sept
Chernolomets
6 : 0 FK Riltzi
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
13 Sept
Chernolomets
4 : 0 Botev Novi Pazar
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3 Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1 Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
0 : 1 Chernolomets
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3 Chernolomets
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1 Chernolomets
24 May
Ludogorets III
3 : 1 Chernolomets
13 May
Volov Shumen
5 : 0 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chernomorets Balchik | 32 | 27 | 4 | 1 | 92:14 | 85 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 32 | 25 | 4 | 3 | 101:19 | 79 |
| 3 | Septemvri Tervel | 32 | 25 | 3 | 4 | 89:22 | 78 |
| 4 | Volov Shumen | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 93:28 | 72 |
| 5 | Chernolomets | 32 | 20 | 3 | 9 | 78:43 | 63 |
| 6 | Benkovski | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 68:40 | 60 |
| 7 | Cherno More II | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 65:44 | 55 |
| 8 | Ustrem Donchevo | 32 | 17 | 3 | 12 | 73:67 | 54 |
| 9 | Olympic Varna | 32 | 10 | 6 | 16 | 58:80 | 36 |
| 10 | Aksakovo | 32 | 9 | 4 | 19 | 40:68 | 31 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 32 | 8 | 6 | 18 | 40:71 | 30 |
| 12 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 26:48 | 29 |
| 13 | Botev Novi Pazar | 32 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 34:69 | 29 |
| 14 | Dorostol | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 29:67 | 28 |
| 15 | Spartak Varna II | 32 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 42:72 | 26 |
| 16 | FK Riltzi | 32 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 31:83 | 22 |
| 17 | Svetkavitsa | 32 | 0 | 1 | 31 | 5:129 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)
