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Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel Logo

Septemvri Tervel

5 - 2
FT
Devnya 2005 Logo

Devnya 2005

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Tervel in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 5-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Septemvri Tervel
20%
Draws
23%
Devnya 2005
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Septemvri Tervel have won more games recently than Devnya 2005.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Tervel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 41.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Devnya 2005 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Tervel Devnya 2005
Matches Played 27 5
Wins 20 1
Draws 3 1
Losses 4 3
Goals Scored 2.63 1
Goals Conceded 0.74 2.4
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.73
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Devnya 2005
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Devnya 2005 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Tervel Devnya 2005

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Tervel scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Devnya 2005 conceded in 80% of 5 recent games.

H2H data points to 7.00 goals as a typical output.

Septemvri Tervel has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Tervel VS Devnya 2005
3.13 Goals Scored 0.83
0.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 67%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 33%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Tervel

(Home)
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
24 May
Septemvri Tervel
4 : 1
Spartak Varna II
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1
Ludogorets III
Page 1 of 6

Devnya 2005

(Away)
19 Sept
Devnya 2005
2 : 2
Dorostol
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
30 Aug
Devnya 2005
0 : 3
Benkovski
26 Aug
Volov Shumen
2 : 0
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Devnya 2005
1 : 0
FK Riltzi

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Volov Shumen 6 5 1 0 23:4 16
2 Svetkavitsa 2014 6 4 1 1 13:4 13
3 Ludogorets III 6 4 1 1 16:4 13
4 Chernomorets Balchik 5 3 2 0 9:4 11
5 Chernolomets 6 3 2 1 10:6 11
6 Benkovski 4 3 0 1 12:5 9
7 Cherno More II 5 3 0 2 10:5 9
8 FK Riltzi 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
9 Botev Novi Pazar 5 2 2 1 11:8 8
10 Septemvri Tervel 3 2 1 0 8:4 7
11 Septemvri Dragoevo 5 2 1 2 11:13 7
12 Olympic Varna 6 2 0 4 13:18 6
13 Devnya 2005 5 1 1 3 5:12 4
14 Fratria II 6 1 0 5 6:23 3
15 Aksakovo 5 0 1 4 6:18 1
16 Dorostol 5 0 1 4 3:15 1
17 Ustrem Donchevo 6 0 0 6 11:23 0
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