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Minyor Pernik

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Septemvri Tervel play Minyor Pernik in the Club Friendly. Septemvri Tervel are favorites here. Recently, Septemvri Tervel averaged 2.64 goals scored and 0.71 conceded. Minyor Pernik averaged 0.81 goals scored and 1.56 conceded. In past meetings, Septemvri Tervel won 0, Minyor Pernik won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jan 21, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Septemvri Tervel and 0.69 for Minyor Pernik. This points to a Septemvri Tervel double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%

Septemvri Tervel

15%

Draws

20%

Minyor Pernik

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence

Septemvri Tervel picked up more points recently compared to Minyor Pernik.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%

Over 1.5 Goals 73%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%

Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 28%

Minyor Pernik Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 66%

Second Half Goal 69%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Septemvri Tervel	Minyor Pernik
Matches Played	28	27
Wins	20	5
Draws	3	5
Losses	5	17
Goals Scored	2.64	0.81
Goals Conceded	0.71	1.56
Expected Goals (xG)	3.50	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.50	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly

Septemvri Tervel vs Minyor Pernik

Possession: 47% - 47% Cards: 2 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 64 / 100

Minyor Pernik 20 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Septemvri Tervel Minyor Pernik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)

Secondary Pick Septemvri Tervel & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +13.7%

1.75

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Septemvri Tervel attacking → ← attacking Minyor Pernik

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Tervel scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Minyor Pernik let in goals in 74% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Septemvri Tervel went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Minyor Pernik lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 20

3.50 Goals expected (xG) 0.88

0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63