Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Septemvri Tervel vs Preslav

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2012/2013 game between Septemvri Tervel and Preslav finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Septemvri Tervel.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Septemvri Tervel
20%
Draws
0%
Preslav
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Septemvri Tervel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Septemvri Tervel come out ahead of Preslav on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Septemvri Tervel's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Septemvri Tervel Clean Sheet 20%
Preslav Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Septemvri Tervel Preslav
Matches Played 44 33
Wins 32 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 27
Goals Scored 2.73 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.7 5.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2014 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel
0:3
Sep 8, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Preslav
10:0
Mar 9, 2013 Third League - North-East
Septemvri Tervel vs Preslav
6:1
Aug 26, 2012 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel
2:2
May 27, 2012 Third League - North-East
Preslav vs Septemvri Tervel
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Septemvri Tervel 85 / 100
Preslav 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Septemvri Tervel Preslav

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Septemvri Tervel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Septemvri Tervel's goal record stands at 84% scoring rate across 44 recent games.

Preslav let in goals in 94% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Septemvri Tervel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Septemvri Tervel VS -
2.5 Goals Scored 0
0.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Septemvri Tervel

(Home)
03 Oct
Septemvri Tervel
3 : 0
Septemvri Dragoevo
26 Sept
Ustrem Donchevo
1 : 1
Septemvri Tervel
19 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
2 : 1
Fratria II
05 Sept
Septemvri Tervel
5 : 2
Devnya 2005
22 Aug
Septemvri Tervel
1 : 1
Volov Shumen
Page 1 of 9

Preslav

(Away)
31 May
Preslav
0 : 6
Suvorovo
23 May
Kubrat
14 : 0
Preslav
18 May
Preslav
0 : 8
Belitsa
14 May
Chernomorets Balchik
9 : 2
Preslav
11 May
Preslav
0 : 4
Botev Novi Pazar
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dobrudzha 28 25 3 0 82:8 78
2 Dunav Ruse 28 24 2 2 86:15 74
3 Belitsa 28 16 3 9 57:32 51
4 Kubrat 28 14 8 6 38:19 50
5 Suvorovo 28 15 5 8 48:35 50
6 Septemvri Tervel 28 12 6 10 39:33 42
7 Chernomorets Balchik 28 11 8 9 37:31 41
8 Benkovski Byala 28 11 6 11 37:46 39
9 Dve Mogili 28 11 2 15 33:58 35
10 Silistra 2009 28 9 6 13 32:31 33
11 Chernomorets Byala 28 8 7 13 28:36 31
12 Preslav 28 6 6 16 37:76 24
13 Provadia 28 6 2 20 24:57 20
14 Ariston Ruse 27 4 5 18 22:52 17
15 Himik Devnya 27 2 1 24 5:76 7
Promotion - B PFG 2013/2014 (Main)